Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 27–28 °C across London on 22 May under building high pressure and light southerly flow, with ample sunshine expected to boost surface heating. This setup sits several degrees above the late-May climatological average of roughly 19 °C, yet remains below the threshold for exceptional early-summer warmth. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly in the 26–29 °C range, reflecting modest uncertainty tied to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Traders are weighting the short-range stability of these forecasts over historical spring variability, concentrating implied probability on the narrow band around 27 °C while leaving room for minor upward or downward revisions ahead of official verification at London City Airport.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on May 22?
27°C 36%
28°C 27%
26°C 23%
25°C 7.4%
$15,034 ปริมาณ
$15,034 ปริมาณ
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
23%
27°C
36%
28°C
27%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 36%
28°C 27%
26°C 23%
25°C 7.4%
$15,034 ปริมาณ
$15,034 ปริมาณ
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
23%
27°C
36%
28°C
27%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 27–28 °C across London on 22 May under building high pressure and light southerly flow, with ample sunshine expected to boost surface heating. This setup sits several degrees above the late-May climatological average of roughly 19 °C, yet remains below the threshold for exceptional early-summer warmth. UK and European ensembles cluster tightly in the 26–29 °C range, reflecting modest uncertainty tied to exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Traders are weighting the short-range stability of these forecasts over historical spring variability, concentrating implied probability on the narrow band around 27 °C while leaving room for minor upward or downward revisions ahead of official verification at London City Airport.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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