Recent ensemble forecasts from major weather models position 37–38°C as the most probable range for Madrid’s June 20 high, driven by a strong subtropical ridge delivering clear skies, light northerly winds, and efficient daytime heating across the central Meseta. Current conditions show Madrid already running several degrees above seasonal normals, with the approach of the summer solstice further boosting insolation. Latest model runs indicate limited cloud development and negligible precipitation risk, keeping maximum temperatures firmly in the upper 30s while capping the chance of reaching 40°C or higher. Traders have responded by concentrating probability on 37–38°C, reflecting the narrow but well-supported forecast spread ahead of final verification on the 20th.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on June 20?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 20?
38°C 42%
37°C 27%
40°C 18%
39°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 20, 2026
33°C or below
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
9%
36°C
10%
37°C
27%
38°C
42%
39°C
14%
40°C
18%
41°C
6%
42°C
3%
43°C or higher
<1%
38°C 42%
37°C 27%
40°C 18%
39°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 20, 2026
33°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
36°C
$37 ปริมาณ
10%
37°C
$67 ปริมาณ
27%
38°C
$70 ปริมาณ
42%
39°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
40°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
41°C
$107 ปริมาณ
6%
42°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
43°C or higher
$47 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major weather models position 37–38°C as the most probable range for Madrid’s June 20 high, driven by a strong subtropical ridge delivering clear skies, light northerly winds, and efficient daytime heating across the central Meseta. Current conditions show Madrid already running several degrees above seasonal normals, with the approach of the summer solstice further boosting insolation. Latest model runs indicate limited cloud development and negligible precipitation risk, keeping maximum temperatures firmly in the upper 30s while capping the chance of reaching 40°C or higher. Traders have responded by concentrating probability on 37–38°C, reflecting the narrow but well-supported forecast spread ahead of final verification on the 20th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$318วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major weather models position 37–38°C as the most probable range for Madrid’s June 20 high, driven by a strong subtropical ridge delivering clear skies, light northerly winds, and efficient daytime heating across the central Meseta. Current conditions show Madrid already running several degrees above seasonal normals, with the approach of the summer solstice further boosting insolation. Latest model runs indicate limited cloud development and negligible precipitation risk, keeping maximum temperatures firmly in the upper 30s while capping the chance of reaching 40°C or higher. Traders have responded by concentrating probability on 37–38°C, reflecting the narrow but well-supported forecast spread ahead of final verification on the 20th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$318วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major weather models position 37–38°C as the most probable range for Madrid’s June 20 high, driven by a strong subtropical ridge delivering clear skies, light northerly winds, and efficient daytime heating across the central Meseta. Current conditions show Madrid already running several degrees above seasonal normals, with the approach of the summer solstice further boosting insolation. Latest model runs indicate limited cloud development and negligible precipitation risk, keeping maximum temperatures firmly in the upper 30s while capping the chance of reaching 40°C or higher. Traders have responded by concentrating probability on 37–38°C, reflecting the narrow but well-supported forecast spread ahead of final verification on the 20th.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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