Recent model runs from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 11 maximum between 34–36 °C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsiding air that favors strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies. Low-level winds remain light, limiting mixing and allowing the urban heat-island effect to amplify readings at official stations. Ensemble spread arises mainly from minor differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; a slightly earlier marine layer or isolated convective cell could cap the peak near 34 °C, while continued subsidence and drier air would push it toward 36–37 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 12–18 UTC model cycles most heavily, producing the tight clustering around the 34–36 °C outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on July 11?
Highest temperature in Paris on July 11?
36°C 39%
37°C 25%
35°C 19%
38°C 5.3%
ใหม่
$16,881 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$16,881 ปริมาณ
Jul 11, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
4%
35°C
19%
36°C
39%
37°C
25%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
3%
36°C 39%
37°C 25%
35°C 19%
38°C 5.3%
ใหม่
$16,881 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$16,881 ปริมาณ
Jul 11, 2026
29°C or below
$612 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$420 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$412 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$457 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$702 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$1,273 ปริมาณ
4%
35°C
$1,552 ปริมาณ
19%
36°C
$3,976 ปริมาณ
39%
37°C
$2,539 ปริมาณ
25%
38°C
$1,965 ปริมาณ
5%
39°C or higher
$2,974 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 11 maximum between 34–36 °C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsiding air that favors strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies. Low-level winds remain light, limiting mixing and allowing the urban heat-island effect to amplify readings at official stations. Ensemble spread arises mainly from minor differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; a slightly earlier marine layer or isolated convective cell could cap the peak near 34 °C, while continued subsidence and drier air would push it toward 36–37 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 12–18 UTC model cycles most heavily, producing the tight clustering around the 34–36 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,881วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 11 maximum between 34–36 °C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsiding air that favors strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies. Low-level winds remain light, limiting mixing and allowing the urban heat-island effect to amplify readings at official stations. Ensemble spread arises mainly from minor differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; a slightly earlier marine layer or isolated convective cell could cap the peak near 34 °C, while continued subsidence and drier air would push it toward 36–37 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 12–18 UTC model cycles most heavily, producing the tight clustering around the 34–36 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,881วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from Météo-France and ECMWF place Paris’s July 11 maximum between 34–36 °C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsiding air that favors strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies. Low-level winds remain light, limiting mixing and allowing the urban heat-island effect to amplify readings at official stations. Ensemble spread arises mainly from minor differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; a slightly earlier marine layer or isolated convective cell could cap the peak near 34 °C, while continued subsidence and drier air would push it toward 36–37 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest 12–18 UTC model cycles most heavily, producing the tight clustering around the 34–36 °C outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย