Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) place the expected daily maximum in Paris on May 22 near 27–29 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, explaining why those outcomes currently command the highest market-implied probabilities. Model spread remains notable because small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon insolation can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while any increase in low-level cloud or a slight wind shift would favor the 26–28 °C cluster already priced at over 40 percent combined. Historical May climatology for the Paris basin shows typical maxima of 18–22 °C, so the current warmer pattern reflects a transient ridge that traders are weighing against the risk of rapid cooling if a frontal passage arrives earlier than projected. Final high-resolution runs and surface observations issued overnight will provide the last updates before the market resolves against official station readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on May 22?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 22?
29°C 32%
28°C 21%
27°C 14%
30°C 13%
ใหม่
$11,835 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,835 ปริมาณ
May 22, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
9%
27°C
14%
28°C
21%
29°C
32%
30°C
13%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 32%
28°C 21%
27°C 14%
30°C 13%
ใหม่
$11,835 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,835 ปริมาณ
May 22, 2026
22°C or below
$414 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$951 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$831 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$864 ปริมาณ
4%
26°C
$778 ปริมาณ
9%
27°C
$1,486 ปริมาณ
14%
28°C
$1,544 ปริมาณ
21%
29°C
$1,295 ปริมาณ
32%
30°C
$1,862 ปริมาณ
13%
31°C
$976 ปริมาณ
3%
32°C or higher
$1,008 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) place the expected daily maximum in Paris on May 22 near 27–29 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, explaining why those outcomes currently command the highest market-implied probabilities. Model spread remains notable because small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon insolation can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while any increase in low-level cloud or a slight wind shift would favor the 26–28 °C cluster already priced at over 40 percent combined. Historical May climatology for the Paris basin shows typical maxima of 18–22 °C, so the current warmer pattern reflects a transient ridge that traders are weighing against the risk of rapid cooling if a frontal passage arrives earlier than projected. Final high-resolution runs and surface observations issued overnight will provide the last updates before the market resolves against official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,835วันสิ้นสุด
May 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) place the expected daily maximum in Paris on May 22 near 27–29 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, explaining why those outcomes currently command the highest market-implied probabilities. Model spread remains notable because small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon insolation can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while any increase in low-level cloud or a slight wind shift would favor the 26–28 °C cluster already priced at over 40 percent combined. Historical May climatology for the Paris basin shows typical maxima of 18–22 °C, so the current warmer pattern reflects a transient ridge that traders are weighing against the risk of rapid cooling if a frontal passage arrives earlier than projected. Final high-resolution runs and surface observations issued overnight will provide the last updates before the market resolves against official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,835วันสิ้นสุด
May 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) place the expected daily maximum in Paris on May 22 near 27–29 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, explaining why those outcomes currently command the highest market-implied probabilities. Model spread remains notable because small differences in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon insolation can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while any increase in low-level cloud or a slight wind shift would favor the 26–28 °C cluster already priced at over 40 percent combined. Historical May climatology for the Paris basin shows typical maxima of 18–22 °C, so the current warmer pattern reflects a transient ridge that traders are weighing against the risk of rapid cooling if a frontal passage arrives earlier than projected. Final high-resolution runs and surface observations issued overnight will provide the last updates before the market resolves against official station readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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