**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26–28°C for Seoul’s July 3 maximum, reflecting near-term forecast uncertainty amid typical early-July conditions.** July marks the onset of South Korea’s East Asian summer monsoon (Jangma), bringing warm, moist southerly flow, high humidity (often 70–85%), and frequent afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms that can cap daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. AccuWeather’s July 2026 outlook shows typical Seoul highs of 27–32°C (81–90°F), consistent with climatological norms of upper-20s maxima. The narrow spread among leading outcomes arises because short-range models (from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles) differ on the timing and extent of cloud build-up or isolated showers on July 3, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects in Seoul amplify baseline readings, while weak steering winds and high moisture content reduce large day-to-day swings. Lower-probability 31°C+ outcomes would require clearer skies and stronger subsidence, whereas cooler results hinge on earlier or heavier precipitation. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any market shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul on July 3?
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 3?
27°C 36%
28°C 25%
26°C 18%
29°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 3, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
18%
27°C
36%
28°C
25%
29°C
10%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 36%
28°C 25%
26°C 18%
29°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 3, 2026
21°C or below
$140 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$79 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$47 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$24 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$81 ปริมาณ
4%
26°C
$171 ปริมาณ
18%
27°C
$426 ปริมาณ
36%
28°C
$261 ปริมาณ
25%
29°C
$74 ปริมาณ
10%
30°C
$14 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C or higher
$99 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26–28°C for Seoul’s July 3 maximum, reflecting near-term forecast uncertainty amid typical early-July conditions.**
July marks the onset of South Korea’s East Asian summer monsoon (Jangma), bringing warm, moist southerly flow, high humidity (often 70–85%), and frequent afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms that can cap daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. AccuWeather’s July 2026 outlook shows typical Seoul highs of 27–32°C (81–90°F), consistent with climatological norms of upper-20s maxima.
The narrow spread among leading outcomes arises because short-range models (from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles) differ on the timing and extent of cloud build-up or isolated showers on July 3, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects in Seoul amplify baseline readings, while weak steering winds and high moisture content reduce large day-to-day swings.
Lower-probability 31°C+ outcomes would require clearer skies and stronger subsidence, whereas cooler results hinge on earlier or heavier precipitation. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any market shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,414วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26–28°C for Seoul’s July 3 maximum, reflecting near-term forecast uncertainty amid typical early-July conditions.**
July marks the onset of South Korea’s East Asian summer monsoon (Jangma), bringing warm, moist southerly flow, high humidity (often 70–85%), and frequent afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms that can cap daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. AccuWeather’s July 2026 outlook shows typical Seoul highs of 27–32°C (81–90°F), consistent with climatological norms of upper-20s maxima.
The narrow spread among leading outcomes arises because short-range models (from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles) differ on the timing and extent of cloud build-up or isolated showers on July 3, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects in Seoul amplify baseline readings, while weak steering winds and high moisture content reduce large day-to-day swings.
Lower-probability 31°C+ outcomes would require clearer skies and stronger subsidence, whereas cooler results hinge on earlier or heavier precipitation. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any market shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,414วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26–28°C for Seoul’s July 3 maximum, reflecting near-term forecast uncertainty amid typical early-July conditions.** July marks the onset of South Korea’s East Asian summer monsoon (Jangma), bringing warm, moist southerly flow, high humidity (often 70–85%), and frequent afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms that can cap daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. AccuWeather’s July 2026 outlook shows typical Seoul highs of 27–32°C (81–90°F), consistent with climatological norms of upper-20s maxima. The narrow spread among leading outcomes arises because short-range models (from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles) differ on the timing and extent of cloud build-up or isolated showers on July 3, which can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Urban heat-island effects in Seoul amplify baseline readings, while weak steering winds and high moisture content reduce large day-to-day swings. Lower-probability 31°C+ outcomes would require clearer skies and stronger subsidence, whereas cooler results hinge on earlier or heavier precipitation. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any market shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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