Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a high near 31°C on September 23 amid partly cloudy to overcast skies with a 30-50% chance of thunderstorms, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and localized convection typical of the post-summer transition in this subtropical region. High humidity near 75% and light easterly winds limit evaporative cooling and solar heating, while afternoon storm timing introduces uncertainty in peak readings—earlier or heavier rain favors the lower 30°C outcomes, whereas delayed cloud cover supports 32°C. Historical September averages hover around 31-32°C, with urban heat effects and variable sea-breeze influences creating narrow spreads between 30°C and 32°C in model consensus. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 23?
32°C 28%
30°C 26%
31°C 24%
33°C 23%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
10%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
26%
31°C
24%
32°C
28%
33°C
23%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 28%
30°C 26%
31°C 24%
33°C 23%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
10%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
26%
31°C
24%
32°C
28%
33°C
23%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a high near 31°C on September 23 amid partly cloudy to overcast skies with a 30-50% chance of thunderstorms, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and localized convection typical of the post-summer transition in this subtropical region. High humidity near 75% and light easterly winds limit evaporative cooling and solar heating, while afternoon storm timing introduces uncertainty in peak readings—earlier or heavier rain favors the lower 30°C outcomes, whereas delayed cloud cover supports 32°C. Historical September averages hover around 31-32°C, with urban heat effects and variable sea-breeze influences creating narrow spreads between 30°C and 32°C in model consensus. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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