Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and regional ensemble models point to a Taipei high near 31–32°C on May 18, placing those outcomes at the center of trader consensus. Mid-May climatology features building subtropical ridge influence that typically supports afternoon maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s, with limited moisture convergence ahead of the plum-rain onset. Key differentiating factors include forecast timing of peak insolation, possible diurnal cloud build-up, and minor variations in boundary-layer humidity that can shift the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Historical Central Weather Administration data show May 18 highs averaging around 30°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2°C, explaining why the market assigns comparable probabilities across 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C while discounting both cooler and significantly warmer scenarios.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on May 18?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 18?
32°C 31%
31°C 24%
33°C 23%
34°C or higher 12.5%
ใหม่
$15,587 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,587 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
6%
30°C
11%
31°C
24%
32°C
31%
33°C
23%
34°C or higher
13%
32°C 31%
31°C 24%
33°C 23%
34°C or higher 12.5%
ใหม่
$15,587 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,587 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
24°C or below
$908 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$879 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$985 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$2,008 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$1,592 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$1,502 ปริมาณ
6%
30°C
$1,261 ปริมาณ
11%
31°C
$1,523 ปริมาณ
24%
32°C
$1,209 ปริมาณ
31%
33°C
$1,512 ปริมาณ
23%
34°C or higher
$2,238 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and regional ensemble models point to a Taipei high near 31–32°C on May 18, placing those outcomes at the center of trader consensus. Mid-May climatology features building subtropical ridge influence that typically supports afternoon maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s, with limited moisture convergence ahead of the plum-rain onset. Key differentiating factors include forecast timing of peak insolation, possible diurnal cloud build-up, and minor variations in boundary-layer humidity that can shift the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Historical Central Weather Administration data show May 18 highs averaging around 30°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2°C, explaining why the market assigns comparable probabilities across 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C while discounting both cooler and significantly warmer scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,587วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and regional ensemble models point to a Taipei high near 31–32°C on May 18, placing those outcomes at the center of trader consensus. Mid-May climatology features building subtropical ridge influence that typically supports afternoon maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s, with limited moisture convergence ahead of the plum-rain onset. Key differentiating factors include forecast timing of peak insolation, possible diurnal cloud build-up, and minor variations in boundary-layer humidity that can shift the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Historical Central Weather Administration data show May 18 highs averaging around 30°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2°C, explaining why the market assigns comparable probabilities across 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C while discounting both cooler and significantly warmer scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,587วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRecent Central Weather Administration forecasts and regional ensemble models point to a Taipei high near 31–32°C on May 18, placing those outcomes at the center of trader consensus. Mid-May climatology features building subtropical ridge influence that typically supports afternoon maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s, with limited moisture convergence ahead of the plum-rain onset. Key differentiating factors include forecast timing of peak insolation, possible diurnal cloud build-up, and minor variations in boundary-layer humidity that can shift the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Historical Central Weather Administration data show May 18 highs averaging around 30°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2°C, explaining why the market assigns comparable probabilities across 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C while discounting both cooler and significantly warmer scenarios.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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