Current forecast models from sources including GFS and European ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 15–16°C for Warsaw on September 23, driven by persistent northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air and limited insolation under variable cloud cover with light showers possible. This positions 16°C as the market leader at 61% implied probability, with 15°C and 17°C reflecting typical model spread and diurnal variability. Recent runs show stable high pressure building to the north, moderating temperatures close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Traders weigh these outputs against historical September maxima and the narrow resolution window, as any late-day clearing or wind shift could nudge readings slightly higher before official verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 23?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 23?
16°C 61%
17°C 24%
15°C 15%
18°C 2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 23, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
15%
16°C
61%
17°C
24%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
17°C 24%
15°C 15%
18°C 2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 23, 2026
10°C or below
$100 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$235 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$386 ปริมาณ
1%
13°C
$53 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$596 ปริมาณ
2%
15°C
$1,459 ปริมาณ
15%
16°C
$1,807 ปริมาณ
61%
17°C
$2,220 ปริมาณ
24%
18°C
$735 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C
$305 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C or higher
$312 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and European ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 15–16°C for Warsaw on September 23, driven by persistent northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air and limited insolation under variable cloud cover with light showers possible. This positions 16°C as the market leader at 61% implied probability, with 15°C and 17°C reflecting typical model spread and diurnal variability. Recent runs show stable high pressure building to the north, moderating temperatures close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Traders weigh these outputs against historical September maxima and the narrow resolution window, as any late-day clearing or wind shift could nudge readings slightly higher before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,209วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including GFS and European ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 15–16°C for Warsaw on September 23, driven by persistent northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air and limited insolation under variable cloud cover with light showers possible. This positions 16°C as the market leader at 61% implied probability, with 15°C and 17°C reflecting typical model spread and diurnal variability. Recent runs show stable high pressure building to the north, moderating temperatures close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Traders weigh these outputs against historical September maxima and the narrow resolution window, as any late-day clearing or wind shift could nudge readings slightly higher before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,209วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including GFS and European ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 15–16°C for Warsaw on September 23, driven by persistent northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air and limited insolation under variable cloud cover with light showers possible. This positions 16°C as the market leader at 61% implied probability, with 15°C and 17°C reflecting typical model spread and diurnal variability. Recent runs show stable high pressure building to the north, moderating temperatures close to seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger warming. Traders weigh these outputs against historical September maxima and the narrow resolution window, as any late-day clearing or wind shift could nudge readings slightly higher before official verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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