Forecast models from agencies including the ECMWF and GFS indicate Wuhan will see a peak temperature near 34–36 °C on August 24, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and any scattered convection. Recent runs show a weak surface high promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies, yet increasing boundary-layer moisture and weak easterly flow raise the chance of isolated thunderstorms that could briefly suppress the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Low-level thickness and 850 hPa temperatures support values in the mid-30s, while historical August climatology for the region centers near 30–31 °C, placing the current setup several degrees above average. Trader consensus clusters on 34–36 °C because small differences in timing of any cloud build-up or shower initiation can shift the observed high across these thresholds, with limited model agreement on exact peak hour.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
35°C 30%
36°C 29%
34°C 22%
32°C 17%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
17%
33°C
13%
34°C
22%
35°C
30%
36°C
29%
37°C or higher
12%
35°C 30%
36°C 29%
34°C 22%
32°C 17%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
17%
33°C
13%
34°C
22%
35°C
30%
36°C
29%
37°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the ECMWF and GFS indicate Wuhan will see a peak temperature near 34–36 °C on August 24, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and any scattered convection. Recent runs show a weak surface high promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies, yet increasing boundary-layer moisture and weak easterly flow raise the chance of isolated thunderstorms that could briefly suppress the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Low-level thickness and 850 hPa temperatures support values in the mid-30s, while historical August climatology for the region centers near 30–31 °C, placing the current setup several degrees above average. Trader consensus clusters on 34–36 °C because small differences in timing of any cloud build-up or shower initiation can shift the observed high across these thresholds, with limited model agreement on exact peak hour.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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