Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to a 29°C peak in Wuhan on July 5, yet the spread across 27–32°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the Western Pacific Subtropical High, which steers warm, moist southerly flow, alongside the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or cloud decks that can suppress maximum temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows typical 2–4°C spreads driven by upstream shortwave troughs and moisture advection, with historical July climatology indicating frequent 28–31°C outcomes under similar patterns. New model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 5?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 5?
29°C 36%
30°C 22%
28°C 21%
31°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 5, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
21%
29°C
36%
30°C
22%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
30°C 22%
28°C 21%
31°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 5, 2026
24°C or below
$52 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$394 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$422 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$262 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$177 ปริมาณ
21%
29°C
$1,028 ปริมาณ
36%
30°C
$3,034 ปริมาณ
22%
31°C
$201 ปริมาณ
6%
32°C
$311 ปริมาณ
4%
33°C
$369 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C or higher
$61 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to a 29°C peak in Wuhan on July 5, yet the spread across 27–32°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the Western Pacific Subtropical High, which steers warm, moist southerly flow, alongside the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or cloud decks that can suppress maximum temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows typical 2–4°C spreads driven by upstream shortwave troughs and moisture advection, with historical July climatology indicating frequent 28–31°C outcomes under similar patterns. New model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,296วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to a 29°C peak in Wuhan on July 5, yet the spread across 27–32°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the Western Pacific Subtropical High, which steers warm, moist southerly flow, alongside the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or cloud decks that can suppress maximum temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows typical 2–4°C spreads driven by upstream shortwave troughs and moisture advection, with historical July climatology indicating frequent 28–31°C outcomes under similar patterns. New model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,296วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to a 29°C peak in Wuhan on July 5, yet the spread across 27–32°C underscores genuine forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Primary drivers include the strength and position of the Western Pacific Subtropical High, which steers warm, moist southerly flow, alongside the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or cloud decks that can suppress maximum temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows typical 2–4°C spreads driven by upstream shortwave troughs and moisture advection, with historical July climatology indicating frequent 28–31°C outcomes under similar patterns. New model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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