Multiple forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and regional analyses project a daytime high of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 26 under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and high humidity. This consensus on sustained summer heat in the North China Plain, where afternoon temperatures routinely exceed 32°C during late August, underpins the 99.7% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher. Only a sharp, unforecast increase in cloud cover, heavy localized rain, or rapid cooling from a passing front could realistically cap the maximum below this threshold, though current observational data and model runs show minimal support for such outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 26?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 26?
32°C or higher 99.7%
31°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 99.7%
31°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$185 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$185 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$185 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$185 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$1,140 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,140 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$1,009 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$812 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$657 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$205 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C or higher
$512 ปริมาณ
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Multiple forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and regional analyses project a daytime high of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 26 under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and high humidity. This consensus on sustained summer heat in the North China Plain, where afternoon temperatures routinely exceed 32°C during late August, underpins the 99.7% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher. Only a sharp, unforecast increase in cloud cover, heavy localized rain, or rapid cooling from a passing front could realistically cap the maximum below this threshold, though current observational data and model runs show minimal support for such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,215วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Multiple forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and regional analyses project a daytime high of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 26 under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and high humidity. This consensus on sustained summer heat in the North China Plain, where afternoon temperatures routinely exceed 32°C during late August, underpins the 99.7% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher. Only a sharp, unforecast increase in cloud cover, heavy localized rain, or rapid cooling from a passing front could realistically cap the maximum below this threshold, though current observational data and model runs show minimal support for such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,215วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and regional analyses project a daytime high of 32–34°C in Zhengzhou on August 26 under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and high humidity. This consensus on sustained summer heat in the North China Plain, where afternoon temperatures routinely exceed 32°C during late August, underpins the 99.7% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher. Only a sharp, unforecast increase in cloud cover, heavy localized rain, or rapid cooling from a passing front could realistically cap the maximum below this threshold, though current observational data and model runs show minimal support for such outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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