Recent hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI and PPI readings, with year-over-year consumer inflation at 3.8 percent and producer prices rising sharply amid elevated energy costs, have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.50–4.60 percent as of mid-May. This move reflects trader reassessment of the pace of disinflation and the likelihood of additional Federal Reserve easing this year, with the benchmark rate currently held in the 3.50–3.75 percent range. Persistent fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury supply continue to exert upward pressure on long-term yields, while resilient growth and sticky core inflation limit downside risks. Key near-term catalysts include the next CPI release, upcoming FOMC communications, and any revisions to growth or inflation forecasts that could shift market-implied rate paths.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$214,768 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
3.9%
41%
3.8%
30%
3.7%
20%
3.6%
19%
3.5%
28%
3.0%
13%
2.0%
10%
1.0%
4%
$214,768 ปริมาณ
3.9%
$40,687 ปริมาณ
41%
3.8%
$39,358 ปริมาณ
30%
3.7%
$26,365 ปริมาณ
20%
3.6%
$4,730 ปริมาณ
19%
3.5%
$31,523 ปริมาณ
28%
3.0%
$446 ปริมาณ
13%
2.0%
$341 ปริมาณ
10%
1.0%
$39,559 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI and PPI readings, with year-over-year consumer inflation at 3.8 percent and producer prices rising sharply amid elevated energy costs, have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.50–4.60 percent as of mid-May. This move reflects trader reassessment of the pace of disinflation and the likelihood of additional Federal Reserve easing this year, with the benchmark rate currently held in the 3.50–3.75 percent range. Persistent fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury supply continue to exert upward pressure on long-term yields, while resilient growth and sticky core inflation limit downside risks. Key near-term catalysts include the next CPI release, upcoming FOMC communications, and any revisions to growth or inflation forecasts that could shift market-implied rate paths.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$214,768วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI and PPI readings, with year-over-year consumer inflation at 3.8 percent and producer prices rising sharply amid elevated energy costs, have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.50–4.60 percent as of mid-May. This move reflects trader reassessment of the pace of disinflation and the likelihood of additional Federal Reserve easing this year, with the benchmark rate currently held in the 3.50–3.75 percent range. Persistent fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury supply continue to exert upward pressure on long-term yields, while resilient growth and sticky core inflation limit downside risks. Key near-term catalysts include the next CPI release, upcoming FOMC communications, and any revisions to growth or inflation forecasts that could shift market-implied rate paths.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$214,768วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI and PPI readings, with year-over-year consumer inflation at 3.8 percent and producer prices rising sharply amid elevated energy costs, have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.50–4.60 percent as of mid-May. This move reflects trader reassessment of the pace of disinflation and the likelihood of additional Federal Reserve easing this year, with the benchmark rate currently held in the 3.50–3.75 percent range. Persistent fiscal deficits and heavy Treasury supply continue to exert upward pressure on long-term yields, while resilient growth and sticky core inflation limit downside risks. Key near-term catalysts include the next CPI release, upcoming FOMC communications, and any revisions to growth or inflation forecasts that could shift market-implied rate paths.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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