Recent Fed policy tightening, including the September 16 rate hike to a 3.75–4.00% target range amid sticky inflation above 3% and resilient growth, has driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.94–4.96% as of September 18. Market-implied expectations now embed fewer cuts or even further hikes through year-end, lifting both expected short rates and the term premium while long-run inflation anchors remain stable near 2.2–2.5%. Geopolitical supply risks and elevated fiscal issuance have added upward pressure on yields, which traded in a 4.6–5.05% range over the past month. Key near-term catalysts include October CPI and labor data plus the October 27–28 FOMC meeting, where updated projections could shift the priced policy path and influence the yield floor before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$273,981 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
Below 3.9%
5%
Below 3.8%
5%
Below 3.7%
4%
Below 3.6%
5%
Below 3.5%
2%
Below 3.0%
1%
Below 2.0%
2%
Below 1.0%
1%
$273,981 ปริมาณ
Below 3.9%
$51,296 ปริมาณ
5%
Below 3.8%
$57,006 ปริมาณ
5%
Below 3.7%
$35,476 ปริมาณ
4%
Below 3.6%
$6,206 ปริมาณ
5%
Below 3.5%
$43,021 ปริมาณ
2%
Below 3.0%
$7,958 ปริมาณ
1%
Below 2.0%
$564 ปริมาณ
2%
Below 1.0%
$40,696 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent Fed policy tightening, including the September 16 rate hike to a 3.75–4.00% target range amid sticky inflation above 3% and resilient growth, has driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.94–4.96% as of September 18. Market-implied expectations now embed fewer cuts or even further hikes through year-end, lifting both expected short rates and the term premium while long-run inflation anchors remain stable near 2.2–2.5%. Geopolitical supply risks and elevated fiscal issuance have added upward pressure on yields, which traded in a 4.6–5.05% range over the past month. Key near-term catalysts include October CPI and labor data plus the October 27–28 FOMC meeting, where updated projections could shift the priced policy path and influence the yield floor before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$273,981วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent Fed policy tightening, including the September 16 rate hike to a 3.75–4.00% target range amid sticky inflation above 3% and resilient growth, has driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.94–4.96% as of September 18. Market-implied expectations now embed fewer cuts or even further hikes through year-end, lifting both expected short rates and the term premium while long-run inflation anchors remain stable near 2.2–2.5%. Geopolitical supply risks and elevated fiscal issuance have added upward pressure on yields, which traded in a 4.6–5.05% range over the past month. Key near-term catalysts include October CPI and labor data plus the October 27–28 FOMC meeting, where updated projections could shift the priced policy path and influence the yield floor before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$273,981วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent Fed policy tightening, including the September 16 rate hike to a 3.75–4.00% target range amid sticky inflation above 3% and resilient growth, has driven the 10-year Treasury yield to approximately 4.94–4.96% as of September 18. Market-implied expectations now embed fewer cuts or even further hikes through year-end, lifting both expected short rates and the term premium while long-run inflation anchors remain stable near 2.2–2.5%. Geopolitical supply risks and elevated fiscal issuance have added upward pressure on yields, which traded in a 4.6–5.05% range over the past month. Key near-term catalysts include October CPI and labor data plus the October 27–28 FOMC meeting, where updated projections could shift the priced policy path and influence the yield floor before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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