Persistent high pressure centered over the Southwest and clear skies are sustaining strong radiative cooling overnight in Austin, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to lows in the upper 70s under light southerly flow and dew points near 70°F. This pattern, amid an ongoing heat wave with triple-digit highs, limits mixing and keeps minimum temperatures elevated relative to August climatology near 72°F. Model consensus shows little spread for August 25, though subtle differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact low by a few degrees and explain the closely matched market-implied odds across the 69–77°F bins. Forecasters will monitor the next model cycles and any ridge adjustments for updates ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Austin on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 25?
88°F or higher 47%
69°F or below 36%
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
69°F or below
36%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
5%
88°F or higher
47%
88°F or higher 47%
69°F or below 36%
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
69°F or below
$12 ปริมาณ
36%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
82-83°F
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
84-85°F
$5 ปริมาณ
14%
86-87°F
$5 ปริมาณ
5%
88°F or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure centered over the Southwest and clear skies are sustaining strong radiative cooling overnight in Austin, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to lows in the upper 70s under light southerly flow and dew points near 70°F. This pattern, amid an ongoing heat wave with triple-digit highs, limits mixing and keeps minimum temperatures elevated relative to August climatology near 72°F. Model consensus shows little spread for August 25, though subtle differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact low by a few degrees and explain the closely matched market-implied odds across the 69–77°F bins. Forecasters will monitor the next model cycles and any ridge adjustments for updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure centered over the Southwest and clear skies are sustaining strong radiative cooling overnight in Austin, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to lows in the upper 70s under light southerly flow and dew points near 70°F. This pattern, amid an ongoing heat wave with triple-digit highs, limits mixing and keeps minimum temperatures elevated relative to August climatology near 72°F. Model consensus shows little spread for August 25, though subtle differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact low by a few degrees and explain the closely matched market-implied odds across the 69–77°F bins. Forecasters will monitor the next model cycles and any ridge adjustments for updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure centered over the Southwest and clear skies are sustaining strong radiative cooling overnight in Austin, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to lows in the upper 70s under light southerly flow and dew points near 70°F. This pattern, amid an ongoing heat wave with triple-digit highs, limits mixing and keeps minimum temperatures elevated relative to August climatology near 72°F. Model consensus shows little spread for August 25, though subtle differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact low by a few degrees and explain the closely matched market-implied odds across the 69–77°F bins. Forecasters will monitor the next model cycles and any ridge adjustments for updates ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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