Traders have placed overwhelming confidence in the 102-103°F range for Austin's official highest temperature on August 25 because National Weather Service forecasts and short-range model ensembles converged tightly on a peak near that threshold under persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light south-southwest winds that promoted strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture to suppress maxima. This aligns with late-August climatology showing average highs around 96°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, elevated by the ongoing regional heat wave, while ensemble spread remained narrow and resolution criteria focus on the single highest NOAA observation. Only an unexpected steering pattern shift or post-observation data revision could realistically alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on August 25?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 25?
102-103°F 100.0%
95°F or below <1%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
$21,745 ปริมาณ
$21,745 ปริมาณ
Aug 25, 2026
95°F or below
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
Yes
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110-111°F
No
112-113°F
No
114°F or higher
No
102-103°F 100.0%
95°F or below <1%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
$21,745 ปริมาณ
$21,745 ปริมาณ
Aug 25, 2026
95°F or below
$164 ปริมาณ
No
96-97°F
$3,163 ปริมาณ
No
98-99°F
$3,545 ปริมาณ
No
100-101°F
$4,115 ปริมาณ
No
102-103°F
$3,838 ปริมาณ
Yes
104-105°F
$4,419 ปริมาณ
No
106-107°F
$1,516 ปริมาณ
No
108-109°F
$266 ปริมาณ
No
110-111°F
$200 ปริมาณ
No
112-113°F
$345 ปริมาณ
No
114°F or higher
$175 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have placed overwhelming confidence in the 102-103°F range for Austin's official highest temperature on August 25 because National Weather Service forecasts and short-range model ensembles converged tightly on a peak near that threshold under persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light south-southwest winds that promoted strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture to suppress maxima. This aligns with late-August climatology showing average highs around 96°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, elevated by the ongoing regional heat wave, while ensemble spread remained narrow and resolution criteria focus on the single highest NOAA observation. Only an unexpected steering pattern shift or post-observation data revision could realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,745วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have placed overwhelming confidence in the 102-103°F range for Austin's official highest temperature on August 25 because National Weather Service forecasts and short-range model ensembles converged tightly on a peak near that threshold under persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light south-southwest winds that promoted strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture to suppress maxima. This aligns with late-August climatology showing average highs around 96°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, elevated by the ongoing regional heat wave, while ensemble spread remained narrow and resolution criteria focus on the single highest NOAA observation. Only an unexpected steering pattern shift or post-observation data revision could realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,745วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Traders have placed overwhelming confidence in the 102-103°F range for Austin's official highest temperature on August 25 because National Weather Service forecasts and short-range model ensembles converged tightly on a peak near that threshold under persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light south-southwest winds that promoted strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture to suppress maxima. This aligns with late-August climatology showing average highs around 96°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, elevated by the ongoing regional heat wave, while ensemble spread remained narrow and resolution criteria focus on the single highest NOAA observation. Only an unexpected steering pattern shift or post-observation data revision could realistically alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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