Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C in Busan on September 15, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, moderate humidity around 70%, and mostly cloudy conditions limiting radiative cooling overnight. Current observations show daytime highs near 28°C with dew points supporting gradual evening decline to the low 20s, consistent with September climatology where average lows range 19–22°C. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects alignment across ensemble runs, though minor model spread or station-specific measurement timing could shift the official daily minimum by 1°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Busan on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Busan on September 15?
20°C 97%
17°C 4%
16°C 2%
18°C 1.9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
97%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 97%
17°C 4%
16°C 2%
18°C 1.9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
15°C or below
$116 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$168 ปริมาณ
4%
18°C
$205 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C
$165 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$317 ปริมาณ
97%
21°C
$351 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$155 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$156 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$22 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C or higher
$186 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C in Busan on September 15, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, moderate humidity around 70%, and mostly cloudy conditions limiting radiative cooling overnight. Current observations show daytime highs near 28°C with dew points supporting gradual evening decline to the low 20s, consistent with September climatology where average lows range 19–22°C. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects alignment across ensemble runs, though minor model spread or station-specific measurement timing could shift the official daily minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,850วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C in Busan on September 15, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, moderate humidity around 70%, and mostly cloudy conditions limiting radiative cooling overnight. Current observations show daytime highs near 28°C with dew points supporting gradual evening decline to the low 20s, consistent with September climatology where average lows range 19–22°C. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects alignment across ensemble runs, though minor model spread or station-specific measurement timing could shift the official daily minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,850วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 20°C in Busan on September 15, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, moderate humidity around 70%, and mostly cloudy conditions limiting radiative cooling overnight. Current observations show daytime highs near 28°C with dew points supporting gradual evening decline to the low 20s, consistent with September climatology where average lows range 19–22°C. Trader consensus at 97% implied probability for exactly 20°C reflects alignment across ensemble runs, though minor model spread or station-specific measurement timing could shift the official daily minimum by 1°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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