**Forecast models and official guidance point to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C for Hong Kong on September 6, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities.** Light winds, high humidity near 90% overnight, and lingering cloud cover from a moist southerly flow are limiting radiative cooling, keeping nighttime lows elevated compared with drier conditions. Recent observations show overnight temperatures holding in the mid-to-upper 20s, consistent with late-summer climatology where the typical September minimum is around 26°C. Model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and local runs shows only modest cooling to 24–26°C in the pre-dawn hours before rapid warming, with little disagreement on the overall range. Traders are therefore assigning the highest probabilities to 27°C and 26°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow band of expected minimum temperatures under these stable atmospheric conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
27°C 51%
26°C 32%
25°C 10%
28°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
10%
26°C
32%
27°C
51%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
26°C 32%
25°C 10%
28°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
$155 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$215 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$32 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$556 ปริมาณ
10%
26°C
$1,133 ปริมาณ
32%
27°C
$1,807 ปริมาณ
51%
28°C
$1,241 ปริมาณ
8%
29°C
$718 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$165 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$165 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$155 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast models and official guidance point to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C for Hong Kong on September 6, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities.**
Light winds, high humidity near 90% overnight, and lingering cloud cover from a moist southerly flow are limiting radiative cooling, keeping nighttime lows elevated compared with drier conditions. Recent observations show overnight temperatures holding in the mid-to-upper 20s, consistent with late-summer climatology where the typical September minimum is around 26°C.
Model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and local runs shows only modest cooling to 24–26°C in the pre-dawn hours before rapid warming, with little disagreement on the overall range. Traders are therefore assigning the highest probabilities to 27°C and 26°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow band of expected minimum temperatures under these stable atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,343วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast models and official guidance point to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C for Hong Kong on September 6, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities.**
Light winds, high humidity near 90% overnight, and lingering cloud cover from a moist southerly flow are limiting radiative cooling, keeping nighttime lows elevated compared with drier conditions. Recent observations show overnight temperatures holding in the mid-to-upper 20s, consistent with late-summer climatology where the typical September minimum is around 26°C.
Model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and local runs shows only modest cooling to 24–26°C in the pre-dawn hours before rapid warming, with little disagreement on the overall range. Traders are therefore assigning the highest probabilities to 27°C and 26°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow band of expected minimum temperatures under these stable atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,343วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance point to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C for Hong Kong on September 6, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities.** Light winds, high humidity near 90% overnight, and lingering cloud cover from a moist southerly flow are limiting radiative cooling, keeping nighttime lows elevated compared with drier conditions. Recent observations show overnight temperatures holding in the mid-to-upper 20s, consistent with late-summer climatology where the typical September minimum is around 26°C. Model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and local runs shows only modest cooling to 24–26°C in the pre-dawn hours before rapid warming, with little disagreement on the overall range. Traders are therefore assigning the highest probabilities to 27°C and 26°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow band of expected minimum temperatures under these stable atmospheric conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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