**Current short-term forecasts position the overnight minimum temperature in London on September 4, 2026, near 16–18°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (17°C at 42.5%, 16°C and 18°C at 25.5% each).** Official guidance from the UK Met Office and supporting model runs (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a Friday minimum around 12–17°C, with several sources converging on roughly 13–16°C amid strengthening southwesterly winds and variable cloud cover. Daytime highs are expected near 21–24°C before cooling overnight as clearer spells allow some radiative heat loss, though persistent cloud and wind limit the drop. Key drivers include an Atlantic low-pressure influence bringing milder but breezy maritime air, with gusts potentially reaching 20–40 mph that enhance mixing and suppress extreme overnight cooling. Recent model consensus shows no sharp cold-air intrusion, keeping probabilities concentrated around the mid-teens Celsius rather than warmer (above 19°C) or notably cooler (below 15°C) outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the latest Met Office and ensemble guidance most heavily, as the two-day lead time favors high-confidence short-range forecasts over longer-term climatology (early-September London minima typically average near 12–14°C). Any last-minute model shift in cloud timing or wind strength could adjust the exact minimum within the narrow 16–18°C band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on September 4?
Lowest temperature in London on September 4?
17°C 47%
18°C 30%
16°C 24%
15°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
3%
13°C
2%
14°C
6%
15°C
8%
16°C
24%
17°C
47%
18°C
30%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
17°C 47%
18°C 30%
16°C 24%
15°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
13°C
$23 ปริมาณ
2%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
15°C
$43 ปริมาณ
8%
16°C
$22 ปริมาณ
24%
17°C
$330 ปริมาณ
47%
18°C
$177 ปริมาณ
30%
19°C
$82 ปริมาณ
5%
20°C
$159 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$83 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C or higher
$8 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-term forecasts position the overnight minimum temperature in London on September 4, 2026, near 16–18°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (17°C at 42.5%, 16°C and 18°C at 25.5% each).**
Official guidance from the UK Met Office and supporting model runs (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a Friday minimum around 12–17°C, with several sources converging on roughly 13–16°C amid strengthening southwesterly winds and variable cloud cover. Daytime highs are expected near 21–24°C before cooling overnight as clearer spells allow some radiative heat loss, though persistent cloud and wind limit the drop.
Key drivers include an Atlantic low-pressure influence bringing milder but breezy maritime air, with gusts potentially reaching 20–40 mph that enhance mixing and suppress extreme overnight cooling. Recent model consensus shows no sharp cold-air intrusion, keeping probabilities concentrated around the mid-teens Celsius rather than warmer (above 19°C) or notably cooler (below 15°C) outcomes.
Traders appear to weigh the latest Met Office and ensemble guidance most heavily, as the two-day lead time favors high-confidence short-range forecasts over longer-term climatology (early-September London minima typically average near 12–14°C). Any last-minute model shift in cloud timing or wind strength could adjust the exact minimum within the narrow 16–18°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$928วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-term forecasts position the overnight minimum temperature in London on September 4, 2026, near 16–18°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (17°C at 42.5%, 16°C and 18°C at 25.5% each).**
Official guidance from the UK Met Office and supporting model runs (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a Friday minimum around 12–17°C, with several sources converging on roughly 13–16°C amid strengthening southwesterly winds and variable cloud cover. Daytime highs are expected near 21–24°C before cooling overnight as clearer spells allow some radiative heat loss, though persistent cloud and wind limit the drop.
Key drivers include an Atlantic low-pressure influence bringing milder but breezy maritime air, with gusts potentially reaching 20–40 mph that enhance mixing and suppress extreme overnight cooling. Recent model consensus shows no sharp cold-air intrusion, keeping probabilities concentrated around the mid-teens Celsius rather than warmer (above 19°C) or notably cooler (below 15°C) outcomes.
Traders appear to weigh the latest Met Office and ensemble guidance most heavily, as the two-day lead time favors high-confidence short-range forecasts over longer-term climatology (early-September London minima typically average near 12–14°C). Any last-minute model shift in cloud timing or wind strength could adjust the exact minimum within the narrow 16–18°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$928วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-term forecasts position the overnight minimum temperature in London on September 4, 2026, near 16–18°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (17°C at 42.5%, 16°C and 18°C at 25.5% each).** Official guidance from the UK Met Office and supporting model runs (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a Friday minimum around 12–17°C, with several sources converging on roughly 13–16°C amid strengthening southwesterly winds and variable cloud cover. Daytime highs are expected near 21–24°C before cooling overnight as clearer spells allow some radiative heat loss, though persistent cloud and wind limit the drop. Key drivers include an Atlantic low-pressure influence bringing milder but breezy maritime air, with gusts potentially reaching 20–40 mph that enhance mixing and suppress extreme overnight cooling. Recent model consensus shows no sharp cold-air intrusion, keeping probabilities concentrated around the mid-teens Celsius rather than warmer (above 19°C) or notably cooler (below 15°C) outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the latest Met Office and ensemble guidance most heavily, as the two-day lead time favors high-confidence short-range forecasts over longer-term climatology (early-September London minima typically average near 12–14°C). Any last-minute model shift in cloud timing or wind strength could adjust the exact minimum within the narrow 16–18°C band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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