Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models show Manila's overnight lows for September 23 centered near 25–26°C amid southwest monsoon flow, high humidity near 90%, and widespread cloud cover that restricts nighttime radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and a nearby low-pressure trough introduce variability, with some model runs allowing brief clearer periods that could push the daily minimum slightly lower or keep it elevated if rain persists. These conditions align with typical late-September climatology but carry uncertainty from steering patterns and localized convection. Trader consensus reflects this spread, pricing cooler outcomes like 21°C or below comparably to warmer thresholds while assigning moderate weight to mid-20s values, underscoring the tight range of plausible minima before official observations finalize.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Manila on September 23?
21°C or below 72%
31°C or higher 70%
22°C 37%
29°C 34%
21°C or below
72%
22°C
37%
23°C
21%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
28%
27°C
22%
28°C
21%
29°C
34%
30°C
34%
31°C or higher
70%
21°C or below 72%
31°C or higher 70%
22°C 37%
29°C 34%
21°C or below
72%
22°C
37%
23°C
21%
24°C
21%
25°C
22%
26°C
28%
27°C
22%
28°C
21%
29°C
34%
30°C
34%
31°C or higher
70%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models show Manila's overnight lows for September 23 centered near 25–26°C amid southwest monsoon flow, high humidity near 90%, and widespread cloud cover that restricts nighttime radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and a nearby low-pressure trough introduce variability, with some model runs allowing brief clearer periods that could push the daily minimum slightly lower or keep it elevated if rain persists. These conditions align with typical late-September climatology but carry uncertainty from steering patterns and localized convection. Trader consensus reflects this spread, pricing cooler outcomes like 21°C or below comparably to warmer thresholds while assigning moderate weight to mid-20s values, underscoring the tight range of plausible minima before official observations finalize.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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