Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Paris minimum temperatures on August 26 clustering around 17–19°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 18°C (35%) and 19°C (20%). Late-summer climatology shows typical overnight lows near 15°C, but current synoptic patterns with warmer-than-average boundary-layer air and limited nocturnal cooling have shifted probabilities higher. Recent observations from Météo-France stations confirm lows of 16–19°C over the prior 48 hours, with no strong cold advection expected before resolution. Model spread remains modest at this short range, though small revisions in cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact minimum by 1°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 26?
18°C 35%
19°C 20%
17°C 18%
20°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
14°C or below
3%
15°C
8%
16°C
12%
17°C
18%
18°C
35%
19°C
20%
20°C
14%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
2%
18°C 35%
19°C 20%
17°C 18%
20°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 26, 2026
14°C or below
$150 ปริมาณ
3%
15°C
$97 ปริมาณ
8%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
23°C
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
24°C or higher
$45 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Paris minimum temperatures on August 26 clustering around 17–19°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 18°C (35%) and 19°C (20%). Late-summer climatology shows typical overnight lows near 15°C, but current synoptic patterns with warmer-than-average boundary-layer air and limited nocturnal cooling have shifted probabilities higher. Recent observations from Météo-France stations confirm lows of 16–19°C over the prior 48 hours, with no strong cold advection expected before resolution. Model spread remains modest at this short range, though small revisions in cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$297วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Paris minimum temperatures on August 26 clustering around 17–19°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 18°C (35%) and 19°C (20%). Late-summer climatology shows typical overnight lows near 15°C, but current synoptic patterns with warmer-than-average boundary-layer air and limited nocturnal cooling have shifted probabilities higher. Recent observations from Météo-France stations confirm lows of 16–19°C over the prior 48 hours, with no strong cold advection expected before resolution. Model spread remains modest at this short range, though small revisions in cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$297วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Paris minimum temperatures on August 26 clustering around 17–19°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 18°C (35%) and 19°C (20%). Late-summer climatology shows typical overnight lows near 15°C, but current synoptic patterns with warmer-than-average boundary-layer air and limited nocturnal cooling have shifted probabilities higher. Recent observations from Météo-France stations confirm lows of 16–19°C over the prior 48 hours, with no strong cold advection expected before resolution. Model spread remains modest at this short range, though small revisions in cloud cover or wind could adjust the exact minimum by 1°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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