Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions yielding a Paris minimum near 21–22 °C on July 14, consistent with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities around those levels. Persistent warm-air advection from the south and elevated dew points have kept recent overnight lows in the 20–22 °C range, limiting further cooling despite light winds. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris further anchor the floor above typical July climatology of ~14–16 °C. Resolution hinges on the final 00–06 UTC observations; any increase in cloud cover or stronger boundary-layer mixing in the next 48-hour model updates could shift the minimum upward, while clearer, calmer conditions would favor the lower tail of the distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on July 14?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 14?
21°C 59%
20°C or below 45%
22°C 12.9%
23°C 1.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 14, 2026
20°C or below
38%
21°C
58%
22°C
9%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
21°C 59%
20°C or below 45%
22°C 12.9%
23°C 1.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 14, 2026
20°C or below
$511 ปริมาณ
38%
21°C
$790 ปริมาณ
58%
22°C
$396 ปริมาณ
9%
23°C
$445 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$2,386 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$1,009 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$661 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$421 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$594 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$282 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$438 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions yielding a Paris minimum near 21–22 °C on July 14, consistent with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities around those levels. Persistent warm-air advection from the south and elevated dew points have kept recent overnight lows in the 20–22 °C range, limiting further cooling despite light winds. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris further anchor the floor above typical July climatology of ~14–16 °C. Resolution hinges on the final 00–06 UTC observations; any increase in cloud cover or stronger boundary-layer mixing in the next 48-hour model updates could shift the minimum upward, while clearer, calmer conditions would favor the lower tail of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,933วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions yielding a Paris minimum near 21–22 °C on July 14, consistent with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities around those levels. Persistent warm-air advection from the south and elevated dew points have kept recent overnight lows in the 20–22 °C range, limiting further cooling despite light winds. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris further anchor the floor above typical July climatology of ~14–16 °C. Resolution hinges on the final 00–06 UTC observations; any increase in cloud cover or stronger boundary-layer mixing in the next 48-hour model updates could shift the minimum upward, while clearer, calmer conditions would favor the lower tail of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,933วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear, high-pressure conditions yielding a Paris minimum near 21–22 °C on July 14, consistent with the tightly bunched market-implied probabilities around those levels. Persistent warm-air advection from the south and elevated dew points have kept recent overnight lows in the 20–22 °C range, limiting further cooling despite light winds. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris further anchor the floor above typical July climatology of ~14–16 °C. Resolution hinges on the final 00–06 UTC observations; any increase in cloud cover or stronger boundary-layer mixing in the next 48-hour model updates could shift the minimum upward, while clearer, calmer conditions would favor the lower tail of the distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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