**Elevated overnight lows driven by an advancing heatwave position 18–19°C as the clear market leaders for Paris’s June 18 minimum temperature.** Météo-France and supporting models indicate a rapid thermal rise across Île-de-France, with Thursday marking the heatwave peak: daytime maxima near 36°C under clear skies and light winds (5–33 km/h) that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup keeps the overnight low anchored around 20°C, shifting probability mass toward the 18°C and 19°C buckets that together command over two-thirds of market-implied odds. Climatological June minima average 12–13°C, so the current anomaly reflects persistent high pressure and southerly flow rather than typical early-summer variability. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next Météo-France update and any late-model consensus shifts will be the final inputs traders weigh before the official observation is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on June 18?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 18?
18°C 43%
19°C 28%
20°C 12%
17°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 18, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
43%
19°C
28%
20°C
12%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 43%
19°C 28%
20°C 12%
17°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 18, 2026
13°C or below
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$336 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$253 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$108 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$20 ปริมาณ
9%
18°C
$175 ปริมาณ
43%
19°C
$216 ปริมาณ
28%
20°C
$129 ปริมาณ
12%
21°C
$113 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$110 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C or higher
$550 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Elevated overnight lows driven by an advancing heatwave position 18–19°C as the clear market leaders for Paris’s June 18 minimum temperature.**
Météo-France and supporting models indicate a rapid thermal rise across Île-de-France, with Thursday marking the heatwave peak: daytime maxima near 36°C under clear skies and light winds (5–33 km/h) that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup keeps the overnight low anchored around 20°C, shifting probability mass toward the 18°C and 19°C buckets that together command over two-thirds of market-implied odds.
Climatological June minima average 12–13°C, so the current anomaly reflects persistent high pressure and southerly flow rather than typical early-summer variability. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next Météo-France update and any late-model consensus shifts will be the final inputs traders weigh before the official observation is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,024วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Elevated overnight lows driven by an advancing heatwave position 18–19°C as the clear market leaders for Paris’s June 18 minimum temperature.**
Météo-France and supporting models indicate a rapid thermal rise across Île-de-France, with Thursday marking the heatwave peak: daytime maxima near 36°C under clear skies and light winds (5–33 km/h) that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup keeps the overnight low anchored around 20°C, shifting probability mass toward the 18°C and 19°C buckets that together command over two-thirds of market-implied odds.
Climatological June minima average 12–13°C, so the current anomaly reflects persistent high pressure and southerly flow rather than typical early-summer variability. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next Météo-France update and any late-model consensus shifts will be the final inputs traders weigh before the official observation is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,024วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Elevated overnight lows driven by an advancing heatwave position 18–19°C as the clear market leaders for Paris’s June 18 minimum temperature.** Météo-France and supporting models indicate a rapid thermal rise across Île-de-France, with Thursday marking the heatwave peak: daytime maxima near 36°C under clear skies and light winds (5–33 km/h) that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup keeps the overnight low anchored around 20°C, shifting probability mass toward the 18°C and 19°C buckets that together command over two-thirds of market-implied odds. Climatological June minima average 12–13°C, so the current anomaly reflects persistent high pressure and southerly flow rather than typical early-summer variability. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next Météo-France update and any late-model consensus shifts will be the final inputs traders weigh before the official observation is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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