Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the lowest temperature on May 14, 2026, hit exactly 7°C around 01:00 local time, aligning with pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and French models predicting 7–8°C lows amid an exceptional polar air descent. Cloudy skies, light rain (6.4 mm total), and moderate winds (up to 58 km/h) trapped heat near the surface, preventing a sharper nocturnal drop below seasonal norms of 9–10°C. Trader sentiment reflects this verified data, with 100% implied probability on 7°C backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-preliminary data revisions by Météo-France, though station measurements are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on May 14?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 14?
7°C 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$24,513 ปริมาณ
$24,513 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
1°C or below
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
Yes
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C or higher
No
7°C 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$24,513 ปริมาณ
$24,513 ปริมาณ
May 14, 2026
1°C or below
$723 ปริมาณ
No
2°C
$1,173 ปริมาณ
No
3°C
$593 ปริมาณ
No
4°C
$1,214 ปริมาณ
No
5°C
$3,506 ปริมาณ
No
6°C
$4,134 ปริมาณ
No
7°C
$2,251 ปริมาณ
Yes
8°C
$4,590 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$919 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$685 ปริมาณ
No
11°C or higher
$4,725 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the lowest temperature on May 14, 2026, hit exactly 7°C around 01:00 local time, aligning with pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and French models predicting 7–8°C lows amid an exceptional polar air descent. Cloudy skies, light rain (6.4 mm total), and moderate winds (up to 58 km/h) trapped heat near the surface, preventing a sharper nocturnal drop below seasonal norms of 9–10°C. Trader sentiment reflects this verified data, with 100% implied probability on 7°C backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-preliminary data revisions by Météo-France, though station measurements are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,513วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the lowest temperature on May 14, 2026, hit exactly 7°C around 01:00 local time, aligning with pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and French models predicting 7–8°C lows amid an exceptional polar air descent. Cloudy skies, light rain (6.4 mm total), and moderate winds (up to 58 km/h) trapped heat near the surface, preventing a sharper nocturnal drop below seasonal norms of 9–10°C. Trader sentiment reflects this verified data, with 100% implied probability on 7°C backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-preliminary data revisions by Météo-France, though station measurements are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,513วันสิ้นสุด
May 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the lowest temperature on May 14, 2026, hit exactly 7°C around 01:00 local time, aligning with pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and French models predicting 7–8°C lows amid an exceptional polar air descent. Cloudy skies, light rain (6.4 mm total), and moderate winds (up to 58 km/h) trapped heat near the surface, preventing a sharper nocturnal drop below seasonal norms of 9–10°C. Trader sentiment reflects this verified data, with 100% implied probability on 7°C backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-preliminary data revisions by Météo-France, though station measurements are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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