**Recent official forecasts and observational data from Chinese meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C in Zhengzhou on September 5 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling conditions typical for early September in the North China Plain.** Multiple model runs show overnight lows settling near this level after daytime highs around 30–32°C, consistent with seasonal baselines and the absence of significant moisture or frontal systems. Traders have assigned overwhelming implied probability (99.5%) to 17°C because current surface observations, dew-point trends, and consensus guidance from agencies align closely with this threshold, with little divergence in short-range models. Scenarios that could realistically challenge this outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind speed that reduce nocturnal cooling, or revisions in official station data due to microclimate effects at the measurement site.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 5?
17°C 99.4%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
99%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
17°C 99.4%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
15°C or below
$197 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$32 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$395 ปริมาณ
99%
18°C
$243 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$275 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$1,175 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$45 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$45 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$45 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$45 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C or higher
$45 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and observational data from Chinese meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C in Zhengzhou on September 5 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling conditions typical for early September in the North China Plain.** Multiple model runs show overnight lows settling near this level after daytime highs around 30–32°C, consistent with seasonal baselines and the absence of significant moisture or frontal systems. Traders have assigned overwhelming implied probability (99.5%) to 17°C because current surface observations, dew-point trends, and consensus guidance from agencies align closely with this threshold, with little divergence in short-range models.
Scenarios that could realistically challenge this outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind speed that reduce nocturnal cooling, or revisions in official station data due to microclimate effects at the measurement site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,542วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and observational data from Chinese meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C in Zhengzhou on September 5 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling conditions typical for early September in the North China Plain.** Multiple model runs show overnight lows settling near this level after daytime highs around 30–32°C, consistent with seasonal baselines and the absence of significant moisture or frontal systems. Traders have assigned overwhelming implied probability (99.5%) to 17°C because current surface observations, dew-point trends, and consensus guidance from agencies align closely with this threshold, with little divergence in short-range models.
Scenarios that could realistically challenge this outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind speed that reduce nocturnal cooling, or revisions in official station data due to microclimate effects at the measurement site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,542วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts and observational data from Chinese meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C in Zhengzhou on September 5 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling conditions typical for early September in the North China Plain.** Multiple model runs show overnight lows settling near this level after daytime highs around 30–32°C, consistent with seasonal baselines and the absence of significant moisture or frontal systems. Traders have assigned overwhelming implied probability (99.5%) to 17°C because current surface observations, dew-point trends, and consensus guidance from agencies align closely with this threshold, with little divergence in short-range models. Scenarios that could realistically challenge this outcome include unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind speed that reduce nocturnal cooling, or revisions in official station data due to microclimate effects at the measurement site.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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