Garlin Gilchrist holds an 85.5% implied probability in the Michigan Secretary of State race due to his strong name recognition as lieutenant governor and a recent statewide poll showing him ahead of Republican nominee Anthony Forlini by six points among likely voters. Both major-party candidates secured nominations at their respective August 2026 conventions, with Gilchrist defeating other Democrats and Forlini prevailing among Republicans on the strength of his experience as Macomb County clerk overseeing local elections. A Glengariff Group survey conducted August 31–September 3 found Gilchrist at 42% to Forlini’s 36%, with the gap widening among definite voters, while Sabato’s Crystal Ball rated the November 3 contest a tossup as of September 9. An October 8 debate at the University of Michigan and the presence of minor-party candidates on the ballot remain key variables that could influence final margins before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Garlin Gilchrist (D)
86%
Anthony Forlini (R)
15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Garlin Gilchrist (D)
$2,133 ปริมาณ
86%
Anthony Forlini (R)
$1,694 ปริมาณ
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Garlin Gilchrist holds an 85.5% implied probability in the Michigan Secretary of State race due to his strong name recognition as lieutenant governor and a recent statewide poll showing him ahead of Republican nominee Anthony Forlini by six points among likely voters. Both major-party candidates secured nominations at their respective August 2026 conventions, with Gilchrist defeating other Democrats and Forlini prevailing among Republicans on the strength of his experience as Macomb County clerk overseeing local elections. A Glengariff Group survey conducted August 31–September 3 found Gilchrist at 42% to Forlini’s 36%, with the gap widening among definite voters, while Sabato’s Crystal Ball rated the November 3 contest a tossup as of September 9. An October 8 debate at the University of Michigan and the presence of minor-party candidates on the ballot remain key variables that could influence final margins before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,827วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 1:57 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Garlin Gilchrist holds an 85.5% implied probability in the Michigan Secretary of State race due to his strong name recognition as lieutenant governor and a recent statewide poll showing him ahead of Republican nominee Anthony Forlini by six points among likely voters. Both major-party candidates secured nominations at their respective August 2026 conventions, with Gilchrist defeating other Democrats and Forlini prevailing among Republicans on the strength of his experience as Macomb County clerk overseeing local elections. A Glengariff Group survey conducted August 31–September 3 found Gilchrist at 42% to Forlini’s 36%, with the gap widening among definite voters, while Sabato’s Crystal Ball rated the November 3 contest a tossup as of September 9. An October 8 debate at the University of Michigan and the presence of minor-party candidates on the ballot remain key variables that could influence final margins before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,827วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 1:57 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Garlin Gilchrist holds an 85.5% implied probability in the Michigan Secretary of State race due to his strong name recognition as lieutenant governor and a recent statewide poll showing him ahead of Republican nominee Anthony Forlini by six points among likely voters. Both major-party candidates secured nominations at their respective August 2026 conventions, with Gilchrist defeating other Democrats and Forlini prevailing among Republicans on the strength of his experience as Macomb County clerk overseeing local elections. A Glengariff Group survey conducted August 31–September 3 found Gilchrist at 42% to Forlini’s 36%, with the gap widening among definite voters, while Sabato’s Crystal Ball rated the November 3 contest a tossup as of September 9. An October 8 debate at the University of Michigan and the presence of minor-party candidates on the ballot remain key variables that could influence final margins before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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