Tennessee's 4th Congressional District, with a partisan voter index of R+21, remains a safe Republican seat under the newly enacted mid-decade redistricting map upheld by a federal judge this week, prompting a filing deadline extension to May 15. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais, who won 70% in the 2024 general election and holds $430,000 cash-on-hand, faces minimal primary threats from Thomas Davis and Harold Jones ahead of the August 6 primary. Democrats field sole candidate Victoria Broderick, with weak historical performance in a district where Trump carried nearly 68% in recent presidential cycles. Trader consensus reflects this structural Republican dominance and incumbency advantage, pricing a GOP hold at 89.5%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTN-04 House Election Winner
TN-04 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,257 ปริมาณ
90%
Democratic Party
$4,410 ปริมาณ
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th Congressional District, with a partisan voter index of R+21, remains a safe Republican seat under the newly enacted mid-decade redistricting map upheld by a federal judge this week, prompting a filing deadline extension to May 15. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais, who won 70% in the 2024 general election and holds $430,000 cash-on-hand, faces minimal primary threats from Thomas Davis and Harold Jones ahead of the August 6 primary. Democrats field sole candidate Victoria Broderick, with weak historical performance in a district where Trump carried nearly 68% in recent presidential cycles. Trader consensus reflects this structural Republican dominance and incumbency advantage, pricing a GOP hold at 89.5%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,668วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 4th Congressional District, with a partisan voter index of R+21, remains a safe Republican seat under the newly enacted mid-decade redistricting map upheld by a federal judge this week, prompting a filing deadline extension to May 15. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais, who won 70% in the 2024 general election and holds $430,000 cash-on-hand, faces minimal primary threats from Thomas Davis and Harold Jones ahead of the August 6 primary. Democrats field sole candidate Victoria Broderick, with weak historical performance in a district where Trump carried nearly 68% in recent presidential cycles. Trader consensus reflects this structural Republican dominance and incumbency advantage, pricing a GOP hold at 89.5%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,668วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 4th Congressional District, with a partisan voter index of R+21, remains a safe Republican seat under the newly enacted mid-decade redistricting map upheld by a federal judge this week, prompting a filing deadline extension to May 15. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais, who won 70% in the 2024 general election and holds $430,000 cash-on-hand, faces minimal primary threats from Thomas Davis and Harold Jones ahead of the August 6 primary. Democrats field sole candidate Victoria Broderick, with weak historical performance in a district where Trump carried nearly 68% in recent presidential cycles. Trader consensus reflects this structural Republican dominance and incumbency advantage, pricing a GOP hold at 89.5%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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