Incumbent Republican Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with 66% of the vote against multiple challengers, advancing to face Democrat Victoria Broderick in the November general election. Tennessee's 4th district carries a strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters and an R+11 partisan voting index. Redistricting earlier in 2026 preserved this advantage, limiting Democratic opportunities despite a competitive primary on that side. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican reflects these structural factors, including the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-cycle national economic shifts, unusually high Democratic turnout in the added Davidson County portions, or unforeseen candidate controversies, though such developments remain low-probability based on current conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTN-04 House Election Winner
TN-04 House Election Winner
$38,365 ปริมาณ
$38,365 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$38,365 ปริมาณ
$38,365 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$19,734 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$18,631 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with 66% of the vote against multiple challengers, advancing to face Democrat Victoria Broderick in the November general election. Tennessee's 4th district carries a strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters and an R+11 partisan voting index. Redistricting earlier in 2026 preserved this advantage, limiting Democratic opportunities despite a competitive primary on that side. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican reflects these structural factors, including the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-cycle national economic shifts, unusually high Democratic turnout in the added Davidson County portions, or unforeseen candidate controversies, though such developments remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,365วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with 66% of the vote against multiple challengers, advancing to face Democrat Victoria Broderick in the November general election. Tennessee's 4th district carries a strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters and an R+11 partisan voting index. Redistricting earlier in 2026 preserved this advantage, limiting Democratic opportunities despite a competitive primary on that side. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican reflects these structural factors, including the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-cycle national economic shifts, unusually high Democratic turnout in the added Davidson County portions, or unforeseen candidate controversies, though such developments remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,365วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with 66% of the vote against multiple challengers, advancing to face Democrat Victoria Broderick in the November general election. Tennessee's 4th district carries a strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from major forecasters and an R+11 partisan voting index. Redistricting earlier in 2026 preserved this advantage, limiting Democratic opportunities despite a competitive primary on that side. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican reflects these structural factors, including the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-cycle national economic shifts, unusually high Democratic turnout in the added Davidson County portions, or unforeseen candidate controversies, though such developments remain low-probability based on current conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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