**The election results for North Carolina’s 14th congressional district on November 3, 2026, produced a narrow Democratic victory that aligns with the market’s dominant outcome.** Lakesha Womack defeated incumbent Tim Moore by roughly 2.2 percentage points, with final unofficial tallies showing Womack at 51.1 percent and Moore at 48.9 percent after more than 99 percent of votes were counted. This outcome reflects a shift from pre-election forecasts that rated the seat Likely or Solid Republican based on the district’s partisan lean and Moore’s prior performance. Traders have priced Democrat 0-5 percent at 98.4 percent because the certified margin falls squarely in that band. Remaining uncertainty centers on any late adjustments during official certification, though current vote totals make a material change unlikely.