Incumbent Democrat Cisco Aguilar holds an 83.5% implied probability in the Nevada Secretary of State race, reflecting his strong position as the sitting official seeking a second term against Republican Jim Marchant at 11%. The rematch follows Aguilar’s narrow 2022 victory, and recent campaign finance reports show Aguilar with over $1 million on hand compared to Marchant’s near-zero balance after the June primary. Marchant secured the Republican nomination in a tight three-way contest but faces limited establishment backing and a general-election electorate that has favored Democrats in recent statewide contests. Minor-party candidates and “other” options register around 50% amid low expected vote shares. With the November 3 general election weeks away and no major late developments shifting the contest, trader consensus centers on Aguilar’s incumbency and resource advantages as the primary drivers of current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Cisco Aguilar (D)
84%
Jim Marchant (R)
11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Cisco Aguilar (D)
$745 ปริมาณ
84%
Jim Marchant (R)
$220 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Democrat Cisco Aguilar holds an 83.5% implied probability in the Nevada Secretary of State race, reflecting his strong position as the sitting official seeking a second term against Republican Jim Marchant at 11%. The rematch follows Aguilar’s narrow 2022 victory, and recent campaign finance reports show Aguilar with over $1 million on hand compared to Marchant’s near-zero balance after the June primary. Marchant secured the Republican nomination in a tight three-way contest but faces limited establishment backing and a general-election electorate that has favored Democrats in recent statewide contests. Minor-party candidates and “other” options register around 50% amid low expected vote shares. With the November 3 general election weeks away and no major late developments shifting the contest, trader consensus centers on Aguilar’s incumbency and resource advantages as the primary drivers of current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$965วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Democrat Cisco Aguilar holds an 83.5% implied probability in the Nevada Secretary of State race, reflecting his strong position as the sitting official seeking a second term against Republican Jim Marchant at 11%. The rematch follows Aguilar’s narrow 2022 victory, and recent campaign finance reports show Aguilar with over $1 million on hand compared to Marchant’s near-zero balance after the June primary. Marchant secured the Republican nomination in a tight three-way contest but faces limited establishment backing and a general-election electorate that has favored Democrats in recent statewide contests. Minor-party candidates and “other” options register around 50% amid low expected vote shares. With the November 3 general election weeks away and no major late developments shifting the contest, trader consensus centers on Aguilar’s incumbency and resource advantages as the primary drivers of current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$965วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Democrat Cisco Aguilar holds an 83.5% implied probability in the Nevada Secretary of State race, reflecting his strong position as the sitting official seeking a second term against Republican Jim Marchant at 11%. The rematch follows Aguilar’s narrow 2022 victory, and recent campaign finance reports show Aguilar with over $1 million on hand compared to Marchant’s near-zero balance after the June primary. Marchant secured the Republican nomination in a tight three-way contest but faces limited establishment backing and a general-election electorate that has favored Democrats in recent statewide contests. Minor-party candidates and “other” options register around 50% amid low expected vote shares. With the November 3 general election weeks away and no major late developments shifting the contest, trader consensus centers on Aguilar’s incumbency and resource advantages as the primary drivers of current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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