Incumbent Democrat Laura Gillen holds a strong position in New York’s 4th congressional district, a D+2 seat on Long Island’s South Shore that she flipped in 2024. She advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican Jeanine Driscoll secured her party’s nomination with over 90 percent in the primary. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts consistently classify the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting Gillen’s incumbency advantage, the district’s partisan voting index, and limited recent polling shifts. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals rather than signaling any late-breaking change in momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-04 House Election Winner
NY-04 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
87%
Republican Party
15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,549 ปริมาณ
87%
Republican Party
$402 ปริมาณ
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Laura Gillen holds a strong position in New York’s 4th congressional district, a D+2 seat on Long Island’s South Shore that she flipped in 2024. She advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican Jeanine Driscoll secured her party’s nomination with over 90 percent in the primary. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts consistently classify the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting Gillen’s incumbency advantage, the district’s partisan voting index, and limited recent polling shifts. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals rather than signaling any late-breaking change in momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,950วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Laura Gillen holds a strong position in New York’s 4th congressional district, a D+2 seat on Long Island’s South Shore that she flipped in 2024. She advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican Jeanine Driscoll secured her party’s nomination with over 90 percent in the primary. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts consistently classify the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting Gillen’s incumbency advantage, the district’s partisan voting index, and limited recent polling shifts. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals rather than signaling any late-breaking change in momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,950วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Laura Gillen holds a strong position in New York’s 4th congressional district, a D+2 seat on Long Island’s South Shore that she flipped in 2024. She advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican Jeanine Driscoll secured her party’s nomination with over 90 percent in the primary. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts consistently classify the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting Gillen’s incumbency advantage, the district’s partisan voting index, and limited recent polling shifts. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals rather than signaling any late-breaking change in momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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