Trader consensus heavily favors 20-39 X posts by NYC Mayor Eric Adams from May 15-22, reflecting his consistent historical pattern of 2-3 daily updates on policy announcements, public safety initiatives, city events, and sports commentary, as evidenced in recent weeks' activity averaging 10-15 posts over similar 4-7 day spans in early May and late April. This predictable rhythm, unaltered by any major developments like legal proceedings, travel disruptions, or campaign surges in the past 30 days, underpins the 91.1% implied probability. Scenarios that could challenge this include an unexpected crisis prompting a posting spike, prolonged international travel limiting access, health issues, or account restrictions, though none appear imminent ahead of the May 15 start.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNYC Mayor # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
NYC Mayor # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
20-39 93.5%
<20 8%
40-59 5.5%
60-79 1.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 22, 2026
<20
10%
20-39
94%
40-59
5%
60-79
1%
80-99
1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
1%
200+
<1%
20-39 93.5%
<20 8%
40-59 5.5%
60-79 1.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 22, 2026
<20
$61 ปริมาณ
10%
20-39
$69 ปริมาณ
94%
40-59
$102 ปริมาณ
5%
60-79
$93 ปริมาณ
1%
80-99
$196 ปริมาณ
1%
100-119
$134 ปริมาณ
<1%
120-139
$169 ปริมาณ
<1%
140-159
$181 ปริมาณ
<1%
160-179
$153 ปริมาณ
<1%
180-199
$242 ปริมาณ
1%
200+
$438 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus heavily favors 20-39 X posts by NYC Mayor Eric Adams from May 15-22, reflecting his consistent historical pattern of 2-3 daily updates on policy announcements, public safety initiatives, city events, and sports commentary, as evidenced in recent weeks' activity averaging 10-15 posts over similar 4-7 day spans in early May and late April. This predictable rhythm, unaltered by any major developments like legal proceedings, travel disruptions, or campaign surges in the past 30 days, underpins the 91.1% implied probability. Scenarios that could challenge this include an unexpected crisis prompting a posting spike, prolonged international travel limiting access, health issues, or account restrictions, though none appear imminent ahead of the May 15 start.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,836วันสิ้นสุด
May 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus heavily favors 20-39 X posts by NYC Mayor Eric Adams from May 15-22, reflecting his consistent historical pattern of 2-3 daily updates on policy announcements, public safety initiatives, city events, and sports commentary, as evidenced in recent weeks' activity averaging 10-15 posts over similar 4-7 day spans in early May and late April. This predictable rhythm, unaltered by any major developments like legal proceedings, travel disruptions, or campaign surges in the past 30 days, underpins the 91.1% implied probability. Scenarios that could challenge this include an unexpected crisis prompting a posting spike, prolonged international travel limiting access, health issues, or account restrictions, though none appear imminent ahead of the May 15 start.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,836วันสิ้นสุด
May 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 20-39 X posts by NYC Mayor Eric Adams from May 15-22, reflecting his consistent historical pattern of 2-3 daily updates on policy announcements, public safety initiatives, city events, and sports commentary, as evidenced in recent weeks' activity averaging 10-15 posts over similar 4-7 day spans in early May and late April. This predictable rhythm, unaltered by any major developments like legal proceedings, travel disruptions, or campaign surges in the past 30 days, underpins the 91.1% implied probability. Scenarios that could challenge this include an unexpected crisis prompting a posting spike, prolonged international travel limiting access, health issues, or account restrictions, though none appear imminent ahead of the May 15 start.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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