Taiwan's opposition parties launched impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in late 2025 over disputes involving revenue allocation legislation, but the Legislative Yuan's May 19, 2026, vote fell short of the required two-thirds supermajority with only 56 votes in favor. This constitutional threshold must be cleared before any case advances to the Constitutional Court for review. With the June 30 deadline now just days away and no new legislative motion underway, traders see negligible prospects for completion of the multi-step process. The opposition's seat shortfall and the compressed timeline reinforce the near-certain "No" pricing. Late developments such as an unprecedented emergency session or procedural reinterpretation remain theoretically possible yet face prohibitive barriers given institutional requirements and current legislative arithmetic.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
$1,358,695 ปริมาณ
$1,358,695 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
$1,358,695 ปริมาณ
$1,358,695 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties launched impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in late 2025 over disputes involving revenue allocation legislation, but the Legislative Yuan's May 19, 2026, vote fell short of the required two-thirds supermajority with only 56 votes in favor. This constitutional threshold must be cleared before any case advances to the Constitutional Court for review. With the June 30 deadline now just days away and no new legislative motion underway, traders see negligible prospects for completion of the multi-step process. The opposition's seat shortfall and the compressed timeline reinforce the near-certain "No" pricing. Late developments such as an unprecedented emergency session or procedural reinterpretation remain theoretically possible yet face prohibitive barriers given institutional requirements and current legislative arithmetic.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
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$1,358,695วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties launched impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in late 2025 over disputes involving revenue allocation legislation, but the Legislative Yuan's May 19, 2026, vote fell short of the required two-thirds supermajority with only 56 votes in favor. This constitutional threshold must be cleared before any case advances to the Constitutional Court for review. With the June 30 deadline now just days away and no new legislative motion underway, traders see negligible prospects for completion of the multi-step process. The opposition's seat shortfall and the compressed timeline reinforce the near-certain "No" pricing. Late developments such as an unprecedented emergency session or procedural reinterpretation remain theoretically possible yet face prohibitive barriers given institutional requirements and current legislative arithmetic.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,358,695วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's opposition parties launched impeachment proceedings against President Lai Ching-te in late 2025 over disputes involving revenue allocation legislation, but the Legislative Yuan's May 19, 2026, vote fell short of the required two-thirds supermajority with only 56 votes in favor. This constitutional threshold must be cleared before any case advances to the Constitutional Court for review. With the June 30 deadline now just days away and no new legislative motion underway, traders see negligible prospects for completion of the multi-step process. The opposition's seat shortfall and the compressed timeline reinforce the near-certain "No" pricing. Late developments such as an unprecedented emergency session or procedural reinterpretation remain theoretically possible yet face prohibitive barriers given institutional requirements and current legislative arithmetic.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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