Recent district polling in conservative strongholds such as Daegu Dalseong and Ulsan Nam-gu Gap has positioned the People Power Party to secure three of the at least four National Assembly seats contested in the June 3 by-elections held alongside nationwide local elections. Tightening races in districts like Busan Buk-gu Gap further support expectations for a third competitive win, even as the party maintains single-digit national approval ratings. Candidate nominations finalized in early May clarified the field and reinforced these regional dynamics. Traders assign the highest implied probability to exactly three seats, reflecting the wisdom of crowds weighing localized advantages against broader opposition challenges ahead of the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
3 49%
2 31%
1 14.9%
4 8.3%
$39,171 ปริมาณ
$39,171 ปริมาณ
Jun 3, 2026
0
5%
1
9%
2
31%
3
47%
4
8%
5
3%
6+
1%
3 49%
2 31%
1 14.9%
4 8.3%
$39,171 ปริมาณ
$39,171 ปริมาณ
Jun 3, 2026
0
$4,538 ปริมาณ
5%
1
$4,815 ปริมาณ
9%
2
$11,758 ปริมาณ
31%
3
$5,669 ปริมาณ
47%
4
$4,936 ปริมาณ
8%
5
$2,748 ปริมาณ
3%
6+
$4,707 ปริมาณ
1%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Recent district polling in conservative strongholds such as Daegu Dalseong and Ulsan Nam-gu Gap has positioned the People Power Party to secure three of the at least four National Assembly seats contested in the June 3 by-elections held alongside nationwide local elections. Tightening races in districts like Busan Buk-gu Gap further support expectations for a third competitive win, even as the party maintains single-digit national approval ratings. Candidate nominations finalized in early May clarified the field and reinforced these regional dynamics. Traders assign the highest implied probability to exactly three seats, reflecting the wisdom of crowds weighing localized advantages against broader opposition challenges ahead of the vote.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,171วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Recent district polling in conservative strongholds such as Daegu Dalseong and Ulsan Nam-gu Gap has positioned the People Power Party to secure three of the at least four National Assembly seats contested in the June 3 by-elections held alongside nationwide local elections. Tightening races in districts like Busan Buk-gu Gap further support expectations for a third competitive win, even as the party maintains single-digit national approval ratings. Candidate nominations finalized in early May clarified the field and reinforced these regional dynamics. Traders assign the highest implied probability to exactly three seats, reflecting the wisdom of crowds weighing localized advantages against broader opposition challenges ahead of the vote.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,171วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent district polling in conservative strongholds such as Daegu Dalseong and Ulsan Nam-gu Gap has positioned the People Power Party to secure three of the at least four National Assembly seats contested in the June 3 by-elections held alongside nationwide local elections. Tightening races in districts like Busan Buk-gu Gap further support expectations for a third competitive win, even as the party maintains single-digit national approval ratings. Candidate nominations finalized in early May clarified the field and reinforced these regional dynamics. Traders assign the highest implied probability to exactly three seats, reflecting the wisdom of crowds weighing localized advantages against broader opposition challenges ahead of the vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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