In California's top-two primary for governor on June 2, trader consensus favors a Democrat-Republican matchup at 73.5% implied probability, driven by recent polls showing a fragmented Democratic field—Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, and Katie Porter splitting votes—while Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco poll competitively for second place. Emerson (May 9-10) and Kreate Strategies (May 5-9) surveys place Hilton at 17-22%, Becerra at 20%, Steyer at 14-19%, and Bianco at 12-13%, with undecideds at 12-23%. This mirrors 2018 dynamics, boosting Dem-Rep odds; Rep-Rep at 29.4% reflects upset potential from Dem disunity, while Dem-Dem trails at 24% absent a clear frontrunner. Final debate momentum and economic concerns as top voter issues add volatility ahead of ballots mailing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วDem-Rep 73%
Rep-Rep 36.1%
Dem-Dem 19%
$72,104 ปริมาณ
$72,104 ปริมาณ
Jun 2, 2026
Dem-Rep
73%
Rep-Rep
36%
Dem-Dem
19%
Dem-Rep 73%
Rep-Rep 36.1%
Dem-Dem 19%
$72,104 ปริมาณ
$72,104 ปริมาณ
Jun 2, 2026
Dem-Rep
$30,397 ปริมาณ
73%
Rep-Rep
$11,695 ปริมาณ
36%
Dem-Dem
$30,012 ปริมาณ
19%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.In California's top-two primary for governor on June 2, trader consensus favors a Democrat-Republican matchup at 73.5% implied probability, driven by recent polls showing a fragmented Democratic field—Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, and Katie Porter splitting votes—while Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco poll competitively for second place. Emerson (May 9-10) and Kreate Strategies (May 5-9) surveys place Hilton at 17-22%, Becerra at 20%, Steyer at 14-19%, and Bianco at 12-13%, with undecideds at 12-23%. This mirrors 2018 dynamics, boosting Dem-Rep odds; Rep-Rep at 29.4% reflects upset potential from Dem disunity, while Dem-Dem trails at 24% absent a clear frontrunner. Final debate momentum and economic concerns as top voter issues add volatility ahead of ballots mailing.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$72,104วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.In California's top-two primary for governor on June 2, trader consensus favors a Democrat-Republican matchup at 73.5% implied probability, driven by recent polls showing a fragmented Democratic field—Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, and Katie Porter splitting votes—while Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco poll competitively for second place. Emerson (May 9-10) and Kreate Strategies (May 5-9) surveys place Hilton at 17-22%, Becerra at 20%, Steyer at 14-19%, and Bianco at 12-13%, with undecideds at 12-23%. This mirrors 2018 dynamics, boosting Dem-Rep odds; Rep-Rep at 29.4% reflects upset potential from Dem disunity, while Dem-Dem trails at 24% absent a clear frontrunner. Final debate momentum and economic concerns as top voter issues add volatility ahead of ballots mailing.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
This market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the listed candidates who advance from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with a party.
In case any combination of parties advances that is not listed here, including all scenarios where an independent candidate advances, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$72,104วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 22, 2025, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In California's top-two primary for governor on June 2, trader consensus favors a Democrat-Republican matchup at 73.5% implied probability, driven by recent polls showing a fragmented Democratic field—Xavier Becerra, Tom Steyer, and Katie Porter splitting votes—while Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco poll competitively for second place. Emerson (May 9-10) and Kreate Strategies (May 5-9) surveys place Hilton at 17-22%, Becerra at 20%, Steyer at 14-19%, and Bianco at 12-13%, with undecideds at 12-23%. This mirrors 2018 dynamics, boosting Dem-Rep odds; Rep-Rep at 29.4% reflects upset potential from Dem disunity, while Dem-Dem trails at 24% absent a clear frontrunner. Final debate momentum and economic concerns as top voter issues add volatility ahead of ballots mailing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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