Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham leads Polymarket trader consensus at 89% implied probability for the South Carolina Republican Senate primary on June 9, driven by his commanding fundraising advantage, endorsements from Donald Trump and Gov. Henry McMaster, and historical incumbency edge in deep-red primaries. Challenger Mark Lynch holds 11% after Paul Dans withdrew on April 10 and endorsed him, consolidating anti-Graham sentiment amid polls like NYT aggregates showing Graham at 43% to Lynch's 29%—a tighter contest than odds suggest, fueled by grassroots dissatisfaction over issues like recent state Senate rejection of Trump-backed redistricting. Thomas Murphy and others trail with negligible support, as the race hinges on turnout among conservative primary voters in the final weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSouth Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner
South Carolina Republican Senate Primary Winner
Lindsey Graham 89%
Mark Lynch 11.1%
Paul Dans <1%
Thomas Murphy <1%
$142,006 ปริมาณ
$142,006 ปริมาณ
Lindsey Graham
89%
Mark Lynch
11%
Paul Dans
<1%
Thomas Murphy
<1%
Lindsey Graham 89%
Mark Lynch 11.1%
Paul Dans <1%
Thomas Murphy <1%
$142,006 ปริมาณ
$142,006 ปริมาณ
Lindsey Graham
89%
Mark Lynch
11%
Paul Dans
<1%
Thomas Murphy
<1%
If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham leads Polymarket trader consensus at 89% implied probability for the South Carolina Republican Senate primary on June 9, driven by his commanding fundraising advantage, endorsements from Donald Trump and Gov. Henry McMaster, and historical incumbency edge in deep-red primaries. Challenger Mark Lynch holds 11% after Paul Dans withdrew on April 10 and endorsed him, consolidating anti-Graham sentiment amid polls like NYT aggregates showing Graham at 43% to Lynch's 29%—a tighter contest than odds suggest, fueled by grassroots dissatisfaction over issues like recent state Senate rejection of Trump-backed redistricting. Thomas Murphy and others trail with negligible support, as the race hinges on turnout among conservative primary voters in the final weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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