**Trump has signaled aggressive new economic measures against Iran after the June Islamabad MOU's 60-day negotiation window expired without a final agreement, but these are expected through Treasury designations, secondary sanctions, and existing authorities rather than a fresh executive order by August 28.** On August 19–20, President Trump posted threats of “economic warfare” and “Economic D-Day,” warning any country providing lifelines to Iran of “tremendous economic consequences,” while Treasury Secretary Bessent described upcoming “toughest sanctions in history” and scheduled further details. The administration has already layered sanctions on Iranian oil, shipping, and financial networks throughout 2026, revoked temporary waivers, and maintained a naval blockade posture. With only days remaining and no confirmed plans for a new EO, traders assign “No” a 57% implied probability, viewing implementation timing and legal form as uncertain despite the clear policy direction toward heightened pressure.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTrump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by Aug 28?
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Trump has signaled aggressive new economic measures against Iran after the June Islamabad MOU's 60-day negotiation window expired without a final agreement, but these are expected through Treasury designations, secondary sanctions, and existing authorities rather than a fresh executive order by August 28.** On August 19–20, President Trump posted threats of “economic warfare” and “Economic D-Day,” warning any country providing lifelines to Iran of “tremendous economic consequences,” while Treasury Secretary Bessent described upcoming “toughest sanctions in history” and scheduled further details. The administration has already layered sanctions on Iranian oil, shipping, and financial networks throughout 2026, revoked temporary waivers, and maintained a naval blockade posture. With only days remaining and no confirmed plans for a new EO, traders assign “No” a 57% implied probability, viewing implementation timing and legal form as uncertain despite the clear policy direction toward heightened pressure.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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