Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval hovering in the mid-to-high 30s amid sustained public concern over the Iran conflict's duration and its effects on energy prices and household costs. Weekly fluctuations remain tightly balanced because short-term survey movements often track minor shifts in economic sentiment or diplomatic signals rather than structural changes. Key variables that could move the market include any verifiable progress toward de-escalation or a new memorandum on the Strait of Hormuz, fresh inflation or jobs data, or congressional developments ahead of the midterms. The current 54% implied probability for an increase this week reflects trader assessment of these near-term catalysts against entrenched partisan divides and persistently negative net ratings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUp
54% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 28, 2026
Up
54% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval hovering in the mid-to-high 30s amid sustained public concern over the Iran conflict's duration and its effects on energy prices and household costs. Weekly fluctuations remain tightly balanced because short-term survey movements often track minor shifts in economic sentiment or diplomatic signals rather than structural changes. Key variables that could move the market include any verifiable progress toward de-escalation or a new memorandum on the Strait of Hormuz, fresh inflation or jobs data, or congressional developments ahead of the midterms. The current 54% implied probability for an increase this week reflects trader assessment of these near-term catalysts against entrenched partisan divides and persistently negative net ratings.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval hovering in the mid-to-high 30s amid sustained public concern over the Iran conflict's duration and its effects on energy prices and household costs. Weekly fluctuations remain tightly balanced because short-term survey movements often track minor shifts in economic sentiment or diplomatic signals rather than structural changes. Key variables that could move the market include any verifiable progress toward de-escalation or a new memorandum on the Strait of Hormuz, fresh inflation or jobs data, or congressional developments ahead of the midterms. The current 54% implied probability for an increase this week reflects trader assessment of these near-term catalysts against entrenched partisan divides and persistently negative net ratings.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 28, 2026, than on August 21, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 21, 2026, than on August 28, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval hovering in the mid-to-high 30s amid sustained public concern over the Iran conflict's duration and its effects on energy prices and household costs. Weekly fluctuations remain tightly balanced because short-term survey movements often track minor shifts in economic sentiment or diplomatic signals rather than structural changes. Key variables that could move the market include any verifiable progress toward de-escalation or a new memorandum on the Strait of Hormuz, fresh inflation or jobs data, or congressional developments ahead of the midterms. The current 54% implied probability for an increase this week reflects trader assessment of these near-term catalysts against entrenched partisan divides and persistently negative net ratings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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