President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the ruling AKP have advanced preparatory work on constitutional reform through a legal commission tasked with drafting changes, yet the party remains short of the 360 parliamentary votes needed to authorize a referendum. Opposition parties have shown no willingness to provide support, and recent withdrawals from drafting committees underscore the lack of cross-party consensus. Traders therefore assign high probability to no formal announcement occurring by the end of 2026, viewing ongoing internal reviews as exploratory steps rather than decisive action toward a popular vote on a new charter.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
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Dec 31, 2026
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Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the ruling AKP have advanced preparatory work on constitutional reform through a legal commission tasked with drafting changes, yet the party remains short of the 360 parliamentary votes needed to authorize a referendum. Opposition parties have shown no willingness to provide support, and recent withdrawals from drafting committees underscore the lack of cross-party consensus. Traders therefore assign high probability to no formal announcement occurring by the end of 2026, viewing ongoing internal reviews as exploratory steps rather than decisive action toward a popular vote on a new charter.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$530วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the ruling AKP have advanced preparatory work on constitutional reform through a legal commission tasked with drafting changes, yet the party remains short of the 360 parliamentary votes needed to authorize a referendum. Opposition parties have shown no willingness to provide support, and recent withdrawals from drafting committees underscore the lack of cross-party consensus. Traders therefore assign high probability to no formal announcement occurring by the end of 2026, viewing ongoing internal reviews as exploratory steps rather than decisive action toward a popular vote on a new charter.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$530วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the ruling AKP have advanced preparatory work on constitutional reform through a legal commission tasked with drafting changes, yet the party remains short of the 360 parliamentary votes needed to authorize a referendum. Opposition parties have shown no willingness to provide support, and recent withdrawals from drafting committees underscore the lack of cross-party consensus. Traders therefore assign high probability to no formal announcement occurring by the end of 2026, viewing ongoing internal reviews as exploratory steps rather than decisive action toward a popular vote on a new charter.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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