The heavily Democratic lean of Texas's 20th Congressional District, anchored in San Antonio and Bexar County with a two-thirds Hispanic electorate, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Joaquin Castro secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with 88 percent of the vote, while Republican Edgardo Baez advanced unopposed in his primary for the November 3 general election. Historical results, including Kamala Harris carrying the district by double digits in 2024, reinforce the structural advantage. Limited recent developments, such as routine primary outcomes and no reported shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns, sustain the wide gap. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national realignment capable of overcoming the district's established partisan baseline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-20 House Election Winner
TX-20 House Election Winner
$12,388 ปริมาณ
$12,388 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$12,388 ปริมาณ
$12,388 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,001 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$3,387 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic lean of Texas's 20th Congressional District, anchored in San Antonio and Bexar County with a two-thirds Hispanic electorate, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Joaquin Castro secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with 88 percent of the vote, while Republican Edgardo Baez advanced unopposed in his primary for the November 3 general election. Historical results, including Kamala Harris carrying the district by double digits in 2024, reinforce the structural advantage. Limited recent developments, such as routine primary outcomes and no reported shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns, sustain the wide gap. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national realignment capable of overcoming the district's established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,388วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic lean of Texas's 20th Congressional District, anchored in San Antonio and Bexar County with a two-thirds Hispanic electorate, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Joaquin Castro secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with 88 percent of the vote, while Republican Edgardo Baez advanced unopposed in his primary for the November 3 general election. Historical results, including Kamala Harris carrying the district by double digits in 2024, reinforce the structural advantage. Limited recent developments, such as routine primary outcomes and no reported shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns, sustain the wide gap. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national realignment capable of overcoming the district's established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,388วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic lean of Texas's 20th Congressional District, anchored in San Antonio and Bexar County with a two-thirds Hispanic electorate, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Joaquin Castro secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with 88 percent of the vote, while Republican Edgardo Baez advanced unopposed in his primary for the November 3 general election. Historical results, including Kamala Harris carrying the district by double digits in 2024, reinforce the structural advantage. Limited recent developments, such as routine primary outcomes and no reported shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns, sustain the wide gap. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national realignment capable of overcoming the district's established partisan baseline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย