Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with minimal opposition and faces Republican Edgardo Baez in the November general election for Texas's 20th congressional district. The San Antonio-based seat encompasses a majority-Hispanic electorate that delivered strong Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Kamala Harris's 2024 performance, and is rated Safe Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or late developments that would alter the balance. A significant shift would require an unforeseen national political realignment, major candidate-specific event, or successful legal challenge to district lines before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-20 House Election Winner
TX-20 House Election Winner
$24,590 ปริมาณ
$24,590 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$24,590 ปริมาณ
$24,590 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,059 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$12,531 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with minimal opposition and faces Republican Edgardo Baez in the November general election for Texas's 20th congressional district. The San Antonio-based seat encompasses a majority-Hispanic electorate that delivered strong Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Kamala Harris's 2024 performance, and is rated Safe Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or late developments that would alter the balance. A significant shift would require an unforeseen national political realignment, major candidate-specific event, or successful legal challenge to district lines before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,590วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with minimal opposition and faces Republican Edgardo Baez in the November general election for Texas's 20th congressional district. The San Antonio-based seat encompasses a majority-Hispanic electorate that delivered strong Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Kamala Harris's 2024 performance, and is rated Safe Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or late developments that would alter the balance. A significant shift would require an unforeseen national political realignment, major candidate-specific event, or successful legal challenge to district lines before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,590วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joaquin Castro secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with minimal opposition and faces Republican Edgardo Baez in the November general election for Texas's 20th congressional district. The San Antonio-based seat encompasses a majority-Hispanic electorate that delivered strong Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Kamala Harris's 2024 performance, and is rated Safe Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or late developments that would alter the balance. A significant shift would require an unforeseen national political realignment, major candidate-specific event, or successful legal challenge to district lines before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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