Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko holds a commanding position in the NY-20 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 or greater partisan voting index and consistent past results favoring the party. As a long-serving representative with established name recognition and fundraising capacity, Tonko advanced unopposed through the canceled June 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican Ralph Ambrosio faces limited visibility in a low-competition environment. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, consistent with historical patterns for safe seats of this type. A realistic shift could occur only through an unforeseen late development, such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political realignment within the remaining months before the November 3, 2026 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-20 House Election Winner
NY-20 House Election Winner
$34,940 ปริมาณ
$34,940 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$34,940 ปริมาณ
$34,940 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,177 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$18,762 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko holds a commanding position in the NY-20 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 or greater partisan voting index and consistent past results favoring the party. As a long-serving representative with established name recognition and fundraising capacity, Tonko advanced unopposed through the canceled June 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican Ralph Ambrosio faces limited visibility in a low-competition environment. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, consistent with historical patterns for safe seats of this type. A realistic shift could occur only through an unforeseen late development, such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political realignment within the remaining months before the November 3, 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,940วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko holds a commanding position in the NY-20 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 or greater partisan voting index and consistent past results favoring the party. As a long-serving representative with established name recognition and fundraising capacity, Tonko advanced unopposed through the canceled June 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican Ralph Ambrosio faces limited visibility in a low-competition environment. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, consistent with historical patterns for safe seats of this type. A realistic shift could occur only through an unforeseen late development, such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political realignment within the remaining months before the November 3, 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,940วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko holds a commanding position in the NY-20 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+8 or greater partisan voting index and consistent past results favoring the party. As a long-serving representative with established name recognition and fundraising capacity, Tonko advanced unopposed through the canceled June 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican Ralph Ambrosio faces limited visibility in a low-competition environment. Trader consensus prices the Democratic outcome near 95 percent, consistent with historical patterns for safe seats of this type. A realistic shift could occur only through an unforeseen late development, such as a significant scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political realignment within the remaining months before the November 3, 2026 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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