Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley's commanding fundraising lead—$3.95 million raised and $2.84 million cash on hand as of March 2026, nearly doubling state Sen. Peter Oberacker's totals—anchors trader consensus at 53% for Democrats in this D+1 swing district, aligning with Cook Political Report's recent Lean Democrat rating amid national generic ballot trends favoring Democrats. The contest remains neck-and-neck at 47% Republican odds due to Riley's slim 2024 two-point flip over Marc Molinaro and the district's even 2024 presidential split (Harris 50%-Trump 49%), with Oberacker positioned as a strong GOP recruit in the June 23 primary against Alex Portelli. Primary outcomes, late-cycle endorsements, shifts in midterm turnout among upstate independents, or national House control battles could decisively separate the pack.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-19 House Election Winner
NY-19 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
38%
Democratic Party
56%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$50 ปริมาณ
38%
Democratic Party
$224 ปริมาณ
56%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley's commanding fundraising lead—$3.95 million raised and $2.84 million cash on hand as of March 2026, nearly doubling state Sen. Peter Oberacker's totals—anchors trader consensus at 53% for Democrats in this D+1 swing district, aligning with Cook Political Report's recent Lean Democrat rating amid national generic ballot trends favoring Democrats. The contest remains neck-and-neck at 47% Republican odds due to Riley's slim 2024 two-point flip over Marc Molinaro and the district's even 2024 presidential split (Harris 50%-Trump 49%), with Oberacker positioned as a strong GOP recruit in the June 23 primary against Alex Portelli. Primary outcomes, late-cycle endorsements, shifts in midterm turnout among upstate independents, or national House control battles could decisively separate the pack.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$274วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley's commanding fundraising lead—$3.95 million raised and $2.84 million cash on hand as of March 2026, nearly doubling state Sen. Peter Oberacker's totals—anchors trader consensus at 53% for Democrats in this D+1 swing district, aligning with Cook Political Report's recent Lean Democrat rating amid national generic ballot trends favoring Democrats. The contest remains neck-and-neck at 47% Republican odds due to Riley's slim 2024 two-point flip over Marc Molinaro and the district's even 2024 presidential split (Harris 50%-Trump 49%), with Oberacker positioned as a strong GOP recruit in the June 23 primary against Alex Portelli. Primary outcomes, late-cycle endorsements, shifts in midterm turnout among upstate independents, or national House control battles could decisively separate the pack.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$274วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley's commanding fundraising lead—$3.95 million raised and $2.84 million cash on hand as of March 2026, nearly doubling state Sen. Peter Oberacker's totals—anchors trader consensus at 53% for Democrats in this D+1 swing district, aligning with Cook Political Report's recent Lean Democrat rating amid national generic ballot trends favoring Democrats. The contest remains neck-and-neck at 47% Republican odds due to Riley's slim 2024 two-point flip over Marc Molinaro and the district's even 2024 presidential split (Harris 50%-Trump 49%), with Oberacker positioned as a strong GOP recruit in the June 23 primary against Alex Portelli. Primary outcomes, late-cycle endorsements, shifts in midterm turnout among upstate independents, or national House control battles could decisively separate the pack.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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