Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan's strong reelection prospects in New York's 18th Congressional District, a D+2 battleground encompassing the Hudson Valley, drive trader consensus to 90.4% for the Democratic Party. Ryan, who won by a 14-point margin in 2024 with over $3 million cash on hand, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest and boasts superior fundraising. Recent GOP turmoil—candidate Sharanjit Thind's withdrawal over residency challenges, replaced by inexperienced businesswoman Jackie Auringer whose petition was upheld May 1—has weakened Republicans, reflected in their zero reported funds. While a stronger GOP nominee or national midterm wave could shift dynamics, Ryan's historical overperformance maintains the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-18 House Election Winner
NY-18 House Election Winner
$33,002 ปริมาณ
$33,002 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
10%
$33,002 ปริมาณ
$33,002 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$31,721 ปริมาณ
91%
Republican Party
$1,281 ปริมาณ
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan's strong reelection prospects in New York's 18th Congressional District, a D+2 battleground encompassing the Hudson Valley, drive trader consensus to 90.4% for the Democratic Party. Ryan, who won by a 14-point margin in 2024 with over $3 million cash on hand, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest and boasts superior fundraising. Recent GOP turmoil—candidate Sharanjit Thind's withdrawal over residency challenges, replaced by inexperienced businesswoman Jackie Auringer whose petition was upheld May 1—has weakened Republicans, reflected in their zero reported funds. While a stronger GOP nominee or national midterm wave could shift dynamics, Ryan's historical overperformance maintains the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,002วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan's strong reelection prospects in New York's 18th Congressional District, a D+2 battleground encompassing the Hudson Valley, drive trader consensus to 90.4% for the Democratic Party. Ryan, who won by a 14-point margin in 2024 with over $3 million cash on hand, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest and boasts superior fundraising. Recent GOP turmoil—candidate Sharanjit Thind's withdrawal over residency challenges, replaced by inexperienced businesswoman Jackie Auringer whose petition was upheld May 1—has weakened Republicans, reflected in their zero reported funds. While a stronger GOP nominee or national midterm wave could shift dynamics, Ryan's historical overperformance maintains the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,002วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Pat Ryan's strong reelection prospects in New York's 18th Congressional District, a D+2 battleground encompassing the Hudson Valley, drive trader consensus to 90.4% for the Democratic Party. Ryan, who won by a 14-point margin in 2024 with over $3 million cash on hand, faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest and boasts superior fundraising. Recent GOP turmoil—candidate Sharanjit Thind's withdrawal over residency challenges, replaced by inexperienced businesswoman Jackie Auringer whose petition was upheld May 1—has weakened Republicans, reflected in their zero reported funds. While a stronger GOP nominee or national midterm wave could shift dynamics, Ryan's historical overperformance maintains the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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