Tennessee Republicans' passage of a new congressional map on May 7, 2026—signed by Governor Bill Lee—has dramatically shifted TN-09 from a longtime Democratic stronghold centered on Memphis to a solidly Republican district by incorporating more conservative suburbs and rural areas, earning Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report (R+9 lean) and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball. This redistricting, enabled by a recent Supreme Court ruling, prompted State Sen. Brent Taylor's immediate candidacy announcement and extended the filing deadline to May 15, while drawing Democratic lawsuits unlikely to alter the map before November 3. A crowded Democratic primary pits incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen against challenger Rep. Justin Pearson, whose January poll showed a near tie (45%-44%), potentially weakening the nominee against GOP contenders like Taylor, Bergmann, and Warner in the August 6 primaries—driving trader consensus to an 81.5% implied probability for a Republican House winner.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTN-09 House Election Winner
TN-09 House Election Winner
$25,205 ปริมาณ
$25,205 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
15%
$25,205 ปริมาณ
$25,205 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$13,038 ปริมาณ
82%
Democratic Party
$12,167 ปริมาณ
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee Republicans' passage of a new congressional map on May 7, 2026—signed by Governor Bill Lee—has dramatically shifted TN-09 from a longtime Democratic stronghold centered on Memphis to a solidly Republican district by incorporating more conservative suburbs and rural areas, earning Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report (R+9 lean) and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball. This redistricting, enabled by a recent Supreme Court ruling, prompted State Sen. Brent Taylor's immediate candidacy announcement and extended the filing deadline to May 15, while drawing Democratic lawsuits unlikely to alter the map before November 3. A crowded Democratic primary pits incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen against challenger Rep. Justin Pearson, whose January poll showed a near tie (45%-44%), potentially weakening the nominee against GOP contenders like Taylor, Bergmann, and Warner in the August 6 primaries—driving trader consensus to an 81.5% implied probability for a Republican House winner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,205วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee Republicans' passage of a new congressional map on May 7, 2026—signed by Governor Bill Lee—has dramatically shifted TN-09 from a longtime Democratic stronghold centered on Memphis to a solidly Republican district by incorporating more conservative suburbs and rural areas, earning Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report (R+9 lean) and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball. This redistricting, enabled by a recent Supreme Court ruling, prompted State Sen. Brent Taylor's immediate candidacy announcement and extended the filing deadline to May 15, while drawing Democratic lawsuits unlikely to alter the map before November 3. A crowded Democratic primary pits incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen against challenger Rep. Justin Pearson, whose January poll showed a near tie (45%-44%), potentially weakening the nominee against GOP contenders like Taylor, Bergmann, and Warner in the August 6 primaries—driving trader consensus to an 81.5% implied probability for a Republican House winner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,205วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee Republicans' passage of a new congressional map on May 7, 2026—signed by Governor Bill Lee—has dramatically shifted TN-09 from a longtime Democratic stronghold centered on Memphis to a solidly Republican district by incorporating more conservative suburbs and rural areas, earning Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report (R+9 lean) and Safe Republican from Sabato's Crystal Ball. This redistricting, enabled by a recent Supreme Court ruling, prompted State Sen. Brent Taylor's immediate candidacy announcement and extended the filing deadline to May 15, while drawing Democratic lawsuits unlikely to alter the map before November 3. A crowded Democratic primary pits incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen against challenger Rep. Justin Pearson, whose January poll showed a near tie (45%-44%), potentially weakening the nominee against GOP contenders like Taylor, Bergmann, and Warner in the August 6 primaries—driving trader consensus to an 81.5% implied probability for a Republican House winner.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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