Recent BiDiMedia and other polls show centre-left candidate Andrea Martella holding a consistent 48-51% lead over centre-right challenger Simone Venturini at 39-42% ahead of Venice's municipal election first round on May 24-25, with a potential runoff June 7-8 between top two finishers. This polling edge, reinforced by broad "campo largo" coalition support including PD endorsements like Pier Luigi Bersani's, drives trader consensus pricing Martella's outright win at 84.5% implied probability on Polymarket. No major scandals or momentum shifts in the past week have disrupted dynamics, though high mainland turnout could favor Venturini; minor candidates like Michele Boldrin trail far behind. The race reflects steady campaign positioning absent late surprises.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วVenice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Andrea Martella 85%
Simone Venturini 16%
Michele Boldrin <1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
$112,706 ปริมาณ
$112,706 ปริมาณ
Andrea Martella
85%
Simone Venturini
16%
Michele Boldrin
<1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%
Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
Andrea Martella 85%
Simone Venturini 16%
Michele Boldrin <1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%
$112,706 ปริมาณ
$112,706 ปริมาณ
Andrea Martella
85%
Simone Venturini
16%
Michele Boldrin
<1%
Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%
Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent BiDiMedia and other polls show centre-left candidate Andrea Martella holding a consistent 48-51% lead over centre-right challenger Simone Venturini at 39-42% ahead of Venice's municipal election first round on May 24-25, with a potential runoff June 7-8 between top two finishers. This polling edge, reinforced by broad "campo largo" coalition support including PD endorsements like Pier Luigi Bersani's, drives trader consensus pricing Martella's outright win at 84.5% implied probability on Polymarket. No major scandals or momentum shifts in the past week have disrupted dynamics, though high mainland turnout could favor Venturini; minor candidates like Michele Boldrin trail far behind. The race reflects steady campaign positioning absent late surprises.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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