SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April 2026 and the subsequent acceleration of its IPO timeline to a potential June 11-12 Nasdaq debut have anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T valuation bucket at 51.0% implied probability. Reports indicate the company is targeting a $75 billion raise at roughly that level, supported by Starlink’s rapid revenue ramp and high-margin satellite operations that justify price-to-sales multiples exceeding 100 times estimated 2025 figures. Recent analyst days and roadshow preparations further reinforce this range as the market-implied sweet spot, while lower-probability outcomes above 2.25T or below 1.50T reflect uncertainty over execution risks on Starship milestones and broader equity-market reception for a listing of this scale.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว1.75-2.00T 61%
2.00-2.25T 8%
2.25-2.50T 7.7%
2.50T+ 6.0%
$133,671 ปริมาณ
$133,671 ปริมาณ
<1.25T
1%
1.25-1.50T
4%
1.50-1.75T
21%
1.75-2.00T
59%
2.00-2.25T
8%
2.25-2.50T
8%
2.50T+
6%
1.75-2.00T 61%
2.00-2.25T 8%
2.25-2.50T 7.7%
2.50T+ 6.0%
$133,671 ปริมาณ
$133,671 ปริมาณ
<1.25T
$60,323 ปริมาณ
1%
1.25-1.50T
$16,039 ปริมาณ
4%
1.50-1.75T
$9,240 ปริมาณ
21%
1.75-2.00T
$12,949 ปริมาณ
59%
2.00-2.25T
$14,286 ปริมาณ
8%
2.25-2.50T
$10,055 ปริมาณ
8%
2.50T+
$10,779 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April 2026 and the subsequent acceleration of its IPO timeline to a potential June 11-12 Nasdaq debut have anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T valuation bucket at 51.0% implied probability. Reports indicate the company is targeting a $75 billion raise at roughly that level, supported by Starlink’s rapid revenue ramp and high-margin satellite operations that justify price-to-sales multiples exceeding 100 times estimated 2025 figures. Recent analyst days and roadshow preparations further reinforce this range as the market-implied sweet spot, while lower-probability outcomes above 2.25T or below 1.50T reflect uncertainty over execution risks on Starship milestones and broader equity-market reception for a listing of this scale.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$133,671ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April 2026 and the subsequent acceleration of its IPO timeline to a potential June 11-12 Nasdaq debut have anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T valuation bucket at 51.0% implied probability. Reports indicate the company is targeting a $75 billion raise at roughly that level, supported by Starlink’s rapid revenue ramp and high-margin satellite operations that justify price-to-sales multiples exceeding 100 times estimated 2025 figures. Recent analyst days and roadshow preparations further reinforce this range as the market-implied sweet spot, while lower-probability outcomes above 2.25T or below 1.50T reflect uncertainty over execution risks on Starship milestones and broader equity-market reception for a listing of this scale.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$133,671ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April 2026 and the subsequent acceleration of its IPO timeline to a potential June 11-12 Nasdaq debut have anchored trader consensus around the 1.75-2.00T valuation bucket at 51.0% implied probability. Reports indicate the company is targeting a $75 billion raise at roughly that level, supported by Starlink’s rapid revenue ramp and high-margin satellite operations that justify price-to-sales multiples exceeding 100 times estimated 2025 figures. Recent analyst days and roadshow preparations further reinforce this range as the market-implied sweet spot, while lower-probability outcomes above 2.25T or below 1.50T reflect uncertainty over execution risks on Starship milestones and broader equity-market reception for a listing of this scale.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย