Anthropic’s commanding 67.5% implied probability stems from the sustained strength of its Claude 4.6 and 4.7 Opus models, which continue to top or tie leading benchmarks in long-context reasoning, natural prose generation, and coding tasks as of mid-May 2026. Recent releases and iterative updates have reinforced trader confidence in Anthropic’s focus on reliable, controllable large language models, outpacing competitors in enterprise adoption metrics. Google’s 23.5% share reflects solid Gemini 3.1 Pro performance and Gemma 4 advancements, yet lags in recent momentum on specialized style and agentic capabilities. OpenAI’s lower 5.5% positioning follows GPT-5.5 Pro’s strong quality index gains, but traders appear to view it as slightly behind on the precise control features emphasized in this market. Key catalysts ahead include potential June model refreshes or benchmark updates that could shift the narrow gap among frontier labs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วแอนโทรปิก 67%
กูเกิล 24%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 2.6%
$1,457,332 ปริมาณ
$1,457,332 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
แอนโทรปิก
67%
กูเกิล
24%
OpenAI
6%
xAI
3%
DeepSeek
1%
อาลีบาบา
1%
Meta
1%
Z.ai
1%
ไมโครซอฟท์
1%
Moonshot
1%
Meituan
<1%
Mistral
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
แอนโทรปิก 67%
กูเกิล 24%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 2.6%
$1,457,332 ปริมาณ
$1,457,332 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
แอนโทรปิก
$30,603 ปริมาณ
67%
กูเกิล
$18,763 ปริมาณ
24%
OpenAI
$49,359 ปริมาณ
6%
xAI
$14,989 ปริมาณ
3%
DeepSeek
$201,403 ปริมาณ
1%
อาลีบาบา
$136,546 ปริมาณ
1%
Meta
$8,179 ปริมาณ
1%
Z.ai
$412,921 ปริมาณ
1%
ไมโครซอฟท์
$11,907 ปริมาณ
1%
Moonshot
$203,389 ปริมาณ
1%
Meituan
$270,728 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$59,374 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$12,844 ปริมาณ
<1%
Baidu
$8,646 ปริมาณ
<1%
Amazon
$17,681 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s commanding 67.5% implied probability stems from the sustained strength of its Claude 4.6 and 4.7 Opus models, which continue to top or tie leading benchmarks in long-context reasoning, natural prose generation, and coding tasks as of mid-May 2026. Recent releases and iterative updates have reinforced trader confidence in Anthropic’s focus on reliable, controllable large language models, outpacing competitors in enterprise adoption metrics. Google’s 23.5% share reflects solid Gemini 3.1 Pro performance and Gemma 4 advancements, yet lags in recent momentum on specialized style and agentic capabilities. OpenAI’s lower 5.5% positioning follows GPT-5.5 Pro’s strong quality index gains, but traders appear to view it as slightly behind on the precise control features emphasized in this market. Key catalysts ahead include potential June model refreshes or benchmark updates that could shift the narrow gap among frontier labs.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,457,332วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s commanding 67.5% implied probability stems from the sustained strength of its Claude 4.6 and 4.7 Opus models, which continue to top or tie leading benchmarks in long-context reasoning, natural prose generation, and coding tasks as of mid-May 2026. Recent releases and iterative updates have reinforced trader confidence in Anthropic’s focus on reliable, controllable large language models, outpacing competitors in enterprise adoption metrics. Google’s 23.5% share reflects solid Gemini 3.1 Pro performance and Gemma 4 advancements, yet lags in recent momentum on specialized style and agentic capabilities. OpenAI’s lower 5.5% positioning follows GPT-5.5 Pro’s strong quality index gains, but traders appear to view it as slightly behind on the precise control features emphasized in this market. Key catalysts ahead include potential June model refreshes or benchmark updates that could shift the narrow gap among frontier labs.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,457,332วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s commanding 67.5% implied probability stems from the sustained strength of its Claude 4.6 and 4.7 Opus models, which continue to top or tie leading benchmarks in long-context reasoning, natural prose generation, and coding tasks as of mid-May 2026. Recent releases and iterative updates have reinforced trader confidence in Anthropic’s focus on reliable, controllable large language models, outpacing competitors in enterprise adoption metrics. Google’s 23.5% share reflects solid Gemini 3.1 Pro performance and Gemma 4 advancements, yet lags in recent momentum on specialized style and agentic capabilities. OpenAI’s lower 5.5% positioning follows GPT-5.5 Pro’s strong quality index gains, but traders appear to view it as slightly behind on the precise control features emphasized in this market. Key catalysts ahead include potential June model refreshes or benchmark updates that could shift the narrow gap among frontier labs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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