Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$294,600 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Donald Brodie
52%
Eric Adams
46%
Matt Gaetz
45%
Roger Stone
39%
Ryan Salame
37%
Stefan Brodie
26%
Roger Ver
26%
Martin Shkreli
16%
Keonne Rodriguez
14%
Steve Bannon
15%
Sam Bankman-Fried
8%
Joe Exotic
8%
Elizabeth Holmes
8%
Nicolas Maduro
8%
Diddy
7%
Hunter Biden
7%
Edward Snowden
6%
Ghislaine Maxwell
6%
Derek Chauvin
5%
Himself
5%
Antoine Massey
8%
Elon Musk
4%
Young Thug
4%
Do Kwon
3%
Julian Assange
3%
Daniel Penny
46%
Bob Menendez
28%
$294,600 ปริมาณ
Donald Brodie
$15 ปริมาณ
52%
Eric Adams
$135 ปริมาณ
46%
Matt Gaetz
$37 ปริมาณ
45%
Roger Stone
$307 ปริมาณ
39%
Ryan Salame
$16,368 ปริมาณ
37%
Stefan Brodie
$105 ปริมาณ
26%
Roger Ver
$601 ปริมาณ
26%
Martin Shkreli
$27,859 ปริมาณ
16%
Keonne Rodriguez
$9,885 ปริมาณ
14%
Steve Bannon
$7,503 ปริมาณ
15%
Sam Bankman-Fried
$92,380 ปริมาณ
8%
Joe Exotic
$333 ปริมาณ
8%
Elizabeth Holmes
$1,356 ปริมาณ
8%
Nicolas Maduro
$8,468 ปริมาณ
8%
Diddy
$8,072 ปริมาณ
7%
Hunter Biden
$2,626 ปริมาณ
7%
Edward Snowden
$1,758 ปริมาณ
6%
Ghislaine Maxwell
$16,711 ปริมาณ
6%
Derek Chauvin
$18,891 ปริมาณ
5%
Himself
$6,725 ปริมาณ
5%
Antoine Massey
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
Elon Musk
$51,238 ปริมาณ
4%
Young Thug
$4,281 ปริมาณ
4%
Do Kwon
$17,120 ปริมาณ
3%
Julian Assange
$1,595 ปริมาณ
3%
Daniel Penny
$74 ปริมาณ
46%
Bob Menendez
$157 ปริมาณ
28%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$294,600วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$294,600วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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