Recent releases of Claude Opus 5 and GPT-5.6 variants have driven MathArena scores into the low-to-mid 80s on matharena.ai evaluations of recent olympiads and competitions, reflecting rapid gains in large language model reasoning. Anthropic and OpenAI continue to lead through iterative improvements in adaptive reasoning and agentic approaches, outpacing open models like those from Moonshot. Trader sentiment favors a high probability of crossing elevated thresholds by year-end given the pace of frontier releases, benchmark saturation trends on easier sets like AIME and USAMO, and ongoing competition, though exact resolution hinges on the undisclosed score target and any late-year model updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$112,479 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
1575
85%
1600
36%
$112,479 ปริมาณ
1575
$33,047 ปริมาณ
85%
1600
$10,827 ปริมาณ
36%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases of Claude Opus 5 and GPT-5.6 variants have driven MathArena scores into the low-to-mid 80s on matharena.ai evaluations of recent olympiads and competitions, reflecting rapid gains in large language model reasoning. Anthropic and OpenAI continue to lead through iterative improvements in adaptive reasoning and agentic approaches, outpacing open models like those from Moonshot. Trader sentiment favors a high probability of crossing elevated thresholds by year-end given the pace of frontier releases, benchmark saturation trends on easier sets like AIME and USAMO, and ongoing competition, though exact resolution hinges on the undisclosed score target and any late-year model updates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$112,479วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases of Claude Opus 5 and GPT-5.6 variants have driven MathArena scores into the low-to-mid 80s on matharena.ai evaluations of recent olympiads and competitions, reflecting rapid gains in large language model reasoning. Anthropic and OpenAI continue to lead through iterative improvements in adaptive reasoning and agentic approaches, outpacing open models like those from Moonshot. Trader sentiment favors a high probability of crossing elevated thresholds by year-end given the pace of frontier releases, benchmark saturation trends on easier sets like AIME and USAMO, and ongoing competition, though exact resolution hinges on the undisclosed score target and any late-year model updates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$112,479วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent releases of Claude Opus 5 and GPT-5.6 variants have driven MathArena scores into the low-to-mid 80s on matharena.ai evaluations of recent olympiads and competitions, reflecting rapid gains in large language model reasoning. Anthropic and OpenAI continue to lead through iterative improvements in adaptive reasoning and agentic approaches, outpacing open models like those from Moonshot. Trader sentiment favors a high probability of crossing elevated thresholds by year-end given the pace of frontier releases, benchmark saturation trends on easier sets like AIME and USAMO, and ongoing competition, though exact resolution hinges on the undisclosed score target and any late-year model updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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