Recent polls ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first-round vote show the leading candidate, Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact, holding 34–44 percent support, with Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia trailing in the low-to-mid 20s and the remaining field further fragmented. This distribution, consistent across multiple surveys from April and early May, leaves no contender near the 50 percent threshold required for an outright win under Colombia’s two-round system. The split conservative and centrist vote, combined with more than a dozen registered candidates, mirrors historical patterns in which only two presidents since 1991 have secured a first-round majority. Traders therefore assign a 94.5 percent probability that a runoff will occur on June 21.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
$47,000 ปริมาณ
$47,000 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
$47,000 ปริมาณ
$47,000 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polls ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first-round vote show the leading candidate, Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact, holding 34–44 percent support, with Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia trailing in the low-to-mid 20s and the remaining field further fragmented. This distribution, consistent across multiple surveys from April and early May, leaves no contender near the 50 percent threshold required for an outright win under Colombia’s two-round system. The split conservative and centrist vote, combined with more than a dozen registered candidates, mirrors historical patterns in which only two presidents since 1991 have secured a first-round majority. Traders therefore assign a 94.5 percent probability that a runoff will occur on June 21.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
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$47,000วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polls ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first-round vote show the leading candidate, Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact, holding 34–44 percent support, with Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia trailing in the low-to-mid 20s and the remaining field further fragmented. This distribution, consistent across multiple surveys from April and early May, leaves no contender near the 50 percent threshold required for an outright win under Colombia’s two-round system. The split conservative and centrist vote, combined with more than a dozen registered candidates, mirrors historical patterns in which only two presidents since 1991 have secured a first-round majority. Traders therefore assign a 94.5 percent probability that a runoff will occur on June 21.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,000วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Recent polls ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first-round vote show the leading candidate, Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact, holding 34–44 percent support, with Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia trailing in the low-to-mid 20s and the remaining field further fragmented. This distribution, consistent across multiple surveys from April and early May, leaves no contender near the 50 percent threshold required for an outright win under Colombia’s two-round system. The split conservative and centrist vote, combined with more than a dozen registered candidates, mirrors historical patterns in which only two presidents since 1991 have secured a first-round majority. Traders therefore assign a 94.5 percent probability that a runoff will occur on June 21.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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