Recent reports indicate Apple plans to split its 2026 iPhone lineup, launching the premium iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable model in September while shifting the base iPhone 18 to early 2027. This shift stems from production adjustments to accommodate the new foldable device and extended iPhone 17 output, yet the strong 92.1% market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that the flagship Pro models will still anchor an official iPhone 18 family release within the calendar year. Historical September launch patterns, confirmed supply-chain signals, and Apple's consistent annual cadence support this view, though delays in certification or unexpected regulatory hurdles could push elements into 2027. The next key catalyst remains Apple's typical fall keynote timing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$102,715 ปริมาณ
$102,715 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$102,715 ปริมาณ
$102,715 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports indicate Apple plans to split its 2026 iPhone lineup, launching the premium iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable model in September while shifting the base iPhone 18 to early 2027. This shift stems from production adjustments to accommodate the new foldable device and extended iPhone 17 output, yet the strong 92.1% market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that the flagship Pro models will still anchor an official iPhone 18 family release within the calendar year. Historical September launch patterns, confirmed supply-chain signals, and Apple's consistent annual cadence support this view, though delays in certification or unexpected regulatory hurdles could push elements into 2027. The next key catalyst remains Apple's typical fall keynote timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102,715วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports indicate Apple plans to split its 2026 iPhone lineup, launching the premium iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable model in September while shifting the base iPhone 18 to early 2027. This shift stems from production adjustments to accommodate the new foldable device and extended iPhone 17 output, yet the strong 92.1% market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that the flagship Pro models will still anchor an official iPhone 18 family release within the calendar year. Historical September launch patterns, confirmed supply-chain signals, and Apple's consistent annual cadence support this view, though delays in certification or unexpected regulatory hurdles could push elements into 2027. The next key catalyst remains Apple's typical fall keynote timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102,715วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent reports indicate Apple plans to split its 2026 iPhone lineup, launching the premium iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and foldable model in September while shifting the base iPhone 18 to early 2027. This shift stems from production adjustments to accommodate the new foldable device and extended iPhone 17 output, yet the strong 92.1% market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that the flagship Pro models will still anchor an official iPhone 18 family release within the calendar year. Historical September launch patterns, confirmed supply-chain signals, and Apple's consistent annual cadence support this view, though delays in certification or unexpected regulatory hurdles could push elements into 2027. The next key catalyst remains Apple's typical fall keynote timing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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