Recent outages on June 2, 5, and 13—marked by elevated error rates on Opus models, API disruptions, and partial service issues—have shaped trader views on Claude downtime this month. Anthropic's rapid scaling of frontier large language models amid surging enterprise and developer demand has repeatedly strained infrastructure, mirroring the March 2026 incident and highlighting capacity bottlenecks during peak loads. With the market closely split between 6-8 and 9-11 days, key variables include stabilization after mid-month fixes, potential new model launches adding traffic, and any further regulatory suspensions of experimental variants. Traders weigh these against Anthropic's historically high uptime outside spikes, recognizing that additional high-traffic events could push totals higher while quick resolutions favor the lower range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Claude go down on __ days in June?
Will Claude go down on __ days in June?
6-8 42%
9-11 34%
12+ 14%
3-5 4.3%
$12,879 ปริมาณ
$12,879 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
3-5
4%
6-8
42%
9-11
34%
12+
14%
6-8 42%
9-11 34%
12+ 14%
3-5 4.3%
$12,879 ปริมาณ
$12,879 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
3-5
$4,244 ปริมาณ
4%
6-8
$1,423 ปริมาณ
42%
9-11
$1,884 ปริมาณ
34%
12+
$2,033 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent outages on June 2, 5, and 13—marked by elevated error rates on Opus models, API disruptions, and partial service issues—have shaped trader views on Claude downtime this month. Anthropic's rapid scaling of frontier large language models amid surging enterprise and developer demand has repeatedly strained infrastructure, mirroring the March 2026 incident and highlighting capacity bottlenecks during peak loads. With the market closely split between 6-8 and 9-11 days, key variables include stabilization after mid-month fixes, potential new model launches adding traffic, and any further regulatory suspensions of experimental variants. Traders weigh these against Anthropic's historically high uptime outside spikes, recognizing that additional high-traffic events could push totals higher while quick resolutions favor the lower range.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,879วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent outages on June 2, 5, and 13—marked by elevated error rates on Opus models, API disruptions, and partial service issues—have shaped trader views on Claude downtime this month. Anthropic's rapid scaling of frontier large language models amid surging enterprise and developer demand has repeatedly strained infrastructure, mirroring the March 2026 incident and highlighting capacity bottlenecks during peak loads. With the market closely split between 6-8 and 9-11 days, key variables include stabilization after mid-month fixes, potential new model launches adding traffic, and any further regulatory suspensions of experimental variants. Traders weigh these against Anthropic's historically high uptime outside spikes, recognizing that additional high-traffic events could push totals higher while quick resolutions favor the lower range.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,879วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent outages on June 2, 5, and 13—marked by elevated error rates on Opus models, API disruptions, and partial service issues—have shaped trader views on Claude downtime this month. Anthropic's rapid scaling of frontier large language models amid surging enterprise and developer demand has repeatedly strained infrastructure, mirroring the March 2026 incident and highlighting capacity bottlenecks during peak loads. With the market closely split between 6-8 and 9-11 days, key variables include stabilization after mid-month fixes, potential new model launches adding traffic, and any further regulatory suspensions of experimental variants. Traders weigh these against Anthropic's historically high uptime outside spikes, recognizing that additional high-traffic events could push totals higher while quick resolutions favor the lower range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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