Trader consensus for no measurable rain in Central Park on June 9 sits at a slim 53% implied probability, driven by mixed short-range model guidance from the National Weather Service and NOAA. Ensemble forecasts highlighted borderline moisture levels and weak surface convergence across the New York metro area, with most runs keeping precipitation accumulations below the 0.01-inch threshold while a minority indicated isolated light showers possible during the afternoon. This narrow balance stems from typical early-June climatology featuring variable convective activity and high forecast uncertainty at 24–48-hour lead times. Resolution hinges on official post-event verification from Central Park rain gauges and NWS radar estimates, with any late model adjustments or observational revisions the most likely catalysts to shift odds before settlement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill it rain in Central Park on June 9?
Will it rain in Central Park on June 9?
$43 ปริมาณ
$43 ปริมาณ
Jun 9, 2026
$43 ปริมาณ
$43 ปริมาณ
Jun 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.Trader consensus for no measurable rain in Central Park on June 9 sits at a slim 53% implied probability, driven by mixed short-range model guidance from the National Weather Service and NOAA. Ensemble forecasts highlighted borderline moisture levels and weak surface convergence across the New York metro area, with most runs keeping precipitation accumulations below the 0.01-inch threshold while a minority indicated isolated light showers possible during the afternoon. This narrow balance stems from typical early-June climatology featuring variable convective activity and high forecast uncertainty at 24–48-hour lead times. Resolution hinges on official post-event verification from Central Park rain gauges and NWS radar estimates, with any late model adjustments or observational revisions the most likely catalysts to shift odds before settlement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 8, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 8, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.Trader consensus for no measurable rain in Central Park on June 9 sits at a slim 53% implied probability, driven by mixed short-range model guidance from the National Weather Service and NOAA. Ensemble forecasts highlighted borderline moisture levels and weak surface convergence across the New York metro area, with most runs keeping precipitation accumulations below the 0.01-inch threshold while a minority indicated isolated light showers possible during the afternoon. This narrow balance stems from typical early-June climatology featuring variable convective activity and high forecast uncertainty at 24–48-hour lead times. Resolution hinges on official post-event verification from Central Park rain gauges and NWS radar estimates, with any late model adjustments or observational revisions the most likely catalysts to shift odds before settlement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any precipitation is recorded at the specified weather station on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City on June 9, 2026 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for the specified date when the “Monthly summarized data” for “Central Park NY” is selected with the variable set to “Precipitation” at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the specified date.
Trace rain, specified by a “T” in the named column, will not qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market’s timeframe will not be considered for this market’s resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 8, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus for no measurable rain in Central Park on June 9 sits at a slim 53% implied probability, driven by mixed short-range model guidance from the National Weather Service and NOAA. Ensemble forecasts highlighted borderline moisture levels and weak surface convergence across the New York metro area, with most runs keeping precipitation accumulations below the 0.01-inch threshold while a minority indicated isolated light showers possible during the afternoon. This narrow balance stems from typical early-June climatology featuring variable convective activity and high forecast uncertainty at 24–48-hour lead times. Resolution hinges on official post-event verification from Central Park rain gauges and NWS radar estimates, with any late model adjustments or observational revisions the most likely catalysts to shift odds before settlement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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